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**4-Dime NCAAB POD **17-15 ats THIS NCAAB Season!- Guarantee

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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**4-Dime NCAAB POD **17-15 ats THIS NCAAB Season!- Guarantee

Postby Pick Bot » Thu Jan 21, 2010 8:06 pm


Okay so I sit at 17-15 ATS on College Basketball POD's this year. In the last 7 days I have lost 4 college POD's by a total 2.5 points. Three games by a half point and one game by one point. I should and could be sitting at 21-11 ATS on NCAAB POD's. Make no mistake about it I will rebound and it starts tonight in a Sun Belt match up at 7pm et guaranteed or 7 days NCAAB is FREE! I'm that confident tonight!

Ark Little Rock +7.5 (4-Dime NCAAB POD)
4 losses on my NCAAB POD's by a total of 2.5 points in the last week other wise I'd be sitting at 21-11 ATS. Well we aren't there so we will continue to try to make a profit in college basketball. Tonight we come with Arkansas Little Rock. The line is a bit off considering how Ark Little Rock has played as of late. The reason it's so high is they are 0-9 on the road and 1-6 in the Sun Belt conference, but this is a mismatch for them and they love playing Florida Atlantic.

Ark LR has out rebounded FAU in each of their 4 match ups. Arkansas will do the same thing tonight as they really are much bigger than a small FAU team. FAU will get their turnovers as they are small and fast, but Courtney Jackson has stepped up big time for Ark LR since they lost their leading rebound-er Mike Smith went out for the season. Jackson came in nicely and is averaged 9.6 rebounds per game. Arkansas starting 5 outweigh on average 14.5lbs per position. That will hold a major rebounding advantage in this match up along with the height advantage that Ark LR has.

Ark LR also has found scoring off their bench and gives them a real advantage Thorton, Davidson, and Stewart all can score in double figures in will present match up problems with FAU.

In conference play Ark LR has been close in all of their games besides one. They have lost by an average 4 points per game while FAU is only winning these games by 4.1. FAU is getting out rebounded by 2.3 rebounds per game and are not playing good defense 46.3% from the field to Ark LR 42.6%. This will be an advantage that carries on.

The key to the game for FAU winning and covering that we do not want to see exploited will be FT's and turnovers. FAU has a +4.4 TO margin in conference and the speed of Tucker and Taylor in the back court will force turnovers. However, Arkansas LR really does take care of the ball they are below the NCAA and Sun Belt average in turnovers. They are +1.4 TO margin in their last 5 games. Free Throws each team is about equal at 68.8% and 68.2% with Arkansas Little Rock coming out on top. FAU has struggled in the last 5 at 64.5% while Arkansas LR has stated consistent. More importantly Arkansas LR is getting to the line +6.4 times per game while FAU is getting their -8 times compared to their opponents. Even at home FAU is getting to the line -5.4 times a game this year. Arkansas LR has the stronger strength of schedule according to www.realtimerpi.com. I'm going with Little Rock here tonight!
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