• Advertisement

4.5 Dime NCAAB POD - 12-2 ATS L14 plays! 4pm start Guarantee

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
  • Advertisement

4.5 Dime NCAAB POD - 12-2 ATS L14 plays! 4pm start Guarantee

Postby Pick Bot » Sat Feb 06, 2010 5:06 pm


Last night we went 3-0 when you count my free pick in the NBA along with the bonus on the money line I gave with the Bucks! Today a little college basketball to get us going and it starts with my POD! Last time out we were victorious with USC on Thursday night and we will try to duplicate that here today. This is my largest NCAAB POD of the year and I'm really confident, so confident that if you buy it I'll give you tomorrow's Super Bowl pick Free if it loses!

UNLV -1 (4.5 DIME NCAAB POD)
Absolutely love this play here today at 4pm. It's the Mountain West conference game of the year for both these teams that faced each other once this season. The first time around UNLV lost @ BYU, but in their defense they did control the game but it was an 11-2 run over the final 5 minutes that got them the loss 77-73.

UNLV has beaten BYU 6 straight times here and a few times as dogs even. They have been solid at home going 9-2 and those losses came to Kansas State a top 25 team out of the Big 12 and Utah. UNLV is playing their best basketball right now and they are averaging 51.2 % from the field over their last 5 games. They'll need that here tonight. In the game they lost against BYU they got to the FT line 12 times less. That's something that does not usually happen to them against BYU. Today in front of a sold out crowd UNLV is going to be the aggressor. They will get to the FT line many more times as BYU gets to the line 7.1 times less than their opponent on the road. To me that will be the different along with turnovers.

At home the defensive play of UNLV turns up especially in front of a loud crowd. They are +4 turnovers at home and in the last game they were -3 turnovers @ BYU look for that statistic to get turned around a bit. They were also out rebounded by 6 which I expect to change a bit too. The important part to note is that they held BYU to 36.8% which probably won't happen again because BYU's best player Frederick did not play the entire game like he normally does and he'll be more effective this afternoon, but that does not worry me. I simply think UNLV has a huge advantage at home today and the fact that BYU is the ranked team is giving us a sweet line at -1. If BYU is the ranked team why are they under dogs on the road? UNLV already went on the road and beat New Mexico a team that BYU lost to on the road. BYU also lost on the road to Utah State another team that is lower in the RPI's than UNLV.

BYU is 28-60-2 ATS in their last 90 games as an under dog while UNLV is on a run of 7-3 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite. They are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. teams with a winning road record. This is the game of the year for them and I think the teams will step up big time with a quality win!
Pick Bot
 
Posts: 2364
Joined: Thu May 21, 2009 12:21 am


  • Advertisement

Return to Freddy Wills Released Picks

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests

cron