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59-43 ATS overall on NFL last year #1 on SBC - 2 Play Early

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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59-43 ATS overall on NFL last year #1 on SBC - 2 Play Early

Postby Pick Bot » Sun Sep 11, 2011 1:06 pm


Pick up our two play package guaranteed to go 2-0 or Monday night is FREE. We won 59% of our NFL against the spread winners a year ago and we look to continue on that success this year starting in Week #1. Both plays are backed with a full in depth analysis!

Steelers +100 (4* Early Bird Special)
Hard to argue with the Steelers at this point as Big Ben is 9-2 vs. the Baltimore Ravens in his career. Joe Flaco has been sacked 14 times in his last 4 starts vs. the Steelers and now he lost two of his favorite targets in Todd Heap and Derek Mason. They were aging players, but still productive and thought Anquan Boldin remains and they signed Lee Evans I'm skeptical. Evans in his career vs. the Steelers has 5 catches and 0 TD's over 3 games so he'll likely be a non factor as well as Ray Rice as the Steelers were #1 vs. the run last year allowing just 62.8 yards per game. The difference will be Big Ben who has lost some weight and seems more mature. They have three receivers that can stretch the field in Mike Wallace, Antonio Brown and Emmanuel Sanders. That makes it much harder for the Ravens to defend when they can't focus in on the first 10 yards. The Steelers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. the AFC North while the Ravens are 2-6-1 ATS in their last9.

Rams +4.5 (3.3* play)
The Dream team was the story of the short off season as Vince Young put it but, but I'm not so confident in a team that's offensive line is a huge huge problem. Most teams start building a team up front and it's nice that the Eagles have the skill positions, but STeve Spagnola's pressure defense that brings zone blitzes gives Michael Vick issues and he was sacked once every 10 drop backs a year ago. I was not convinced with Vick down the stretch last year when he struggled. Rams got better bringing in Sims Walker, but they kept 4 TE's and 2 FB's expect them to take the talented secondary out of this game with 1 WR sets and pounding the ball and operating off play action fakes. Finally the Rams 7th in league with 43 sacks and the Eagles gave up 49 a year ago among the worst in the league.
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