4.4* NFL POD - Dallas Cowboys vs. TB Bucs 8:30pm

[Pick Bot]

Thursday we lost our teaser on a garbage time TD by the Jaguars who couldn't move the ball all night, but we'll look to bounce back on Saturday night with our NFL POD that still remains over 60% ATS for our career. This play is backed by a full in depth analysis!

Bucs +7.5 (4.4* NFL POD)
Cowboys are on back to back disheartening losses and I'm curious to see how they can dominate an opponent like the Bucs who have lost 7 games in a row, but the Cowboys are 2-4 on the road and even in their 2 wins they won by a FG in both and I expect a very close game the Bucs are not as bad as they have played. Statistically the main difference between these two teams is turnovers and Josh Freeman is having an awful year, but I think he bounces back when he returns home if they start handing the ball off to Blount and being more conservative this team can absolutely pull the upset and hopefully save their head coaches job. Raheem Morris is said to be on the hot seat now and I think his team plays for him tonight at home.

Some stats that are just too similar to give the Cowboys a TD fav on the road. For one TB and Dallas are both averaging 19 ppg when TB is at home and Dallas is on the road. Dallas is giving up 24.7 on the road while TB is allowing 25 so it seems that both teams are scoring and allowing the same amount of yards. Also 3rd down defense, TB is not terrible in fact they are slightly better than Dallas with 39% both are ranked 17th and 18th. Run defense too Dallas is allowing 4.2 yards per carry on the season overall while TB 4.6 is worse, Dallas lost Demarco Murray who was averaging a yard better than Felix Jones this season. Red Zone offense both teams are ranked low Dallas 25th with just 46.3% TD in the red zone while TB is 27th with just 43.75%. Really don't understand the spread here as Dallas is also 17-36-2 ATS in their last 55 as a road favorite and TB is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 as a dog 3.5 to 10 points.