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4.5** MLB PLAY OF THE DAY 4:10PM ET START

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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4.5** MLB PLAY OF THE DAY 4:10PM ET START

Postby Pick Bot » Sun May 27, 2012 4:12 pm




Dodgers -137 4.5* MLB POD
Two lefties take the mound today in LA where the Dodgers just keep winning despite all of their injuries. Today is the rubber game between a team that's 20-5 at home and a team that's 6-14 on the road. I'm going with the home team as Chris Capuano has been fabulous at home this year posting a 1.38 ERA in his 4 starts here and a 1.35 ERA during day. J.A. Happ ont he other hand has a 6.19 ERA on the road and a 6.19 ERA during his day starts. This is not a surprise as Happ posted a 6.62 ERA on the road last year with a 1-9 record. Happ is pitching better of late and that's the main reason we have a shorter line here, but the Dodgers have a .408 average in 49 AB vs. Happ and the Astros are also 15-45 in their last 60 road games while the Dodgers are 43-17 in their last 60 home.

I also like the fact the Dodgers are 9th in OPS vs. LHP while the AStros are nearly .100 pts behind and are ranked 20th. Astros are hitting just .190 on the road vs. south paws this year averaging 2.70 runs per 9 while the Dodgers are at .281 and 5.95 at home. That stat is not from early success as the Dodgers are still raking against lefties over their last 5 games they are at .292 and 6.14 runs per 9.
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