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4.5* MLB POD @SFGiants vs. @Diamondbacks Guaranteed

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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4.5* MLB POD @SFGiants vs. @Diamondbacks Guaranteed

Postby Pick Bot » Mon May 28, 2012 5:07 pm


Don't miss out on another MLB POD winner today as this pick is guaranteed and backed with a full in depth analysis for your betting confidence. Also check out the front page for my winning free .

Diamondbacks -112 4.5* MLB POD
Barry Zito is a phony. He is nearly at a 1:1 ratio for K/BB which is never good when you are only striking out 5.47 batters. He faces a team that is 6th in the league in walks and he's walked Upton/Young a combined 15 times. There should be runners on base all day long and I see his ERA starting to creep towards his xFIP of 5.20 which is a more accurate indication of his ability right now. Zito just does not match up against the Diamondbacks well who are 10th with a .740 OPS vs. LHP. They score 1 run more per game vs. RHP than when they face righties and over 187 AB they have a .792 OPS vs. Zito who over the last three years has had 5 starts vs. the Diamondbacks and an 8.31 ERA to show for it.

Trevor Cahill on the other hand has better raw stats with a 3.83 XFIP and the Giants have 77 AB .195 and a .555 OPS against him. Giants are only scoring 3.5 runs per 9 vs. RHP this year at home so the Dimaondbacks 4.48 vs. LHP gives them the edge here too. Diamondbacks are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings while the Giants are 5-12 in Zito's last 17 as a dog.
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