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4.5* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY 20-9 L29 3:10PM ET START

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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4.5* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY 20-9 L29 3:10PM ET START

Postby Pick Bot » Sun Jul 15, 2012 3:12 pm




Phillies -130 4.5* MLB POD
I like the Phillies here today as they have a major advantage in pitching with Cole Hamels going who has held the Rockies hitters collectively to a .611 OPS in 99 AB. Though Drew Promeranz, making the start for the Rockies, has never faced the Phillies I'd say they have a huge advantage. Promeranz has been largely lucky with an ERA just above 3 considering he is walking 5.09 guys per 9 and K'ng just 6.88 per 9. He's held teams to .51 HR/9 and .250 BABIP while allowing just 44% ground balls which all in all is pretty shocking considering where he plays. I think that luck starts to change today as the Phillies rough him up a bit. The Phillies are 55-23 in Hamels last 78 vs. a losing team and 13-3 in their last 16 with him on the mound as a favorite -110 to -150 so the oddsmakers usually get it right and I think they do again today with the Phillies knocking Promeranz out of the game early and they'll have success against the Rockies 4.13 bullpen ERA which is ranked 21st.
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