4.4* Afternoon Shocker 4:05pm ET - 15-4 L19 sports picks

[Pick Bot]

Don't miss out on today's NFL play going in the afternoon. We went 5-0 last week and we are off to a 1-0 NFL start this week capped off by a 7-2 college football week we look to continue that success on Sunday.

Dolphins +4.5 4.4*
As good as the Cardinals have been on defense they are still getting too much respect. They actually are negative yards in every game and that has to say something. Meanwhile the Dolphins are much better than their record indicates. They are 3rd in the league in run defense allowing 66 yards per game. Arizona has struggled punching the ball in at the goal line with the run and their offensive line has struggled and should have their hands full with the Dolphins front 4 including Cameron Wake who should spend plenty of time in the backfield today.

I also don't trust Arizona's starting running back Ryan Williams. He's fumble prone since college and has had issues this year. Look for the turnover battle to play a huge factor in this game. Meanwhile the Dolphins offense has been pretty decent considering they start a rookie QB. Ryan Tannehill is athletic and he's running the same offense he did in college so in a sense he's much further ahead than most rookie QB's. He's also backed by a good rushing team. Both teams like to run the ball more than pass as they are both inside the top 10 in rush %, but the Dolphins are far better at running the ball and stopping the run. Arizona is 30th with just 2.8 ypc, and their defense is 12th allowing 3.9 ypc and should have their hands full with the Dolphins backs today.