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3.3* NFL Afternoon Play #49ers vs. #Saints + 3.3* NCAAB POD

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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3.3* NFL Afternoon Play #49ers vs. #Saints + 3.3* NCAAB POD

Postby Pick Bot » Sun Nov 25, 2012 5:17 pm


Don't miss out on our afternoon plays which feature an NFL play and our College basketball play of the day.

Goergia Tech +4.5 (3.3* NCAAB POD)

49ERS -1 (3.3* play)
49ers are the leagues best at running the ball and that with defense are the ingredients to winning on the road and winning against the Saints. Nobody does those two things better than the 49ers these days and I expect them to win this game for a few reasons. Not only is New Orleans allowing 5.0 ypc at home this year they are allowing nearly 200 yards more per game than the 49ers defense and have lost the yards battle in 6 straight games.

The Saints have been winning games by being good in the red zone both on offense and defense, but the 49ers are a team that can be better than their opponents at that game. They are scoring 67% TD's on the road which is good for 6th, and their defense is ranked high as well. It all starts with getting off the field on third down something the 49ers are good at ranked 3rd in the NFL. Saints are 0-3 this year vs. teams that are ranked inside the top 10 in third down defense, that includes the hopeless Chiefs. The Saints are also 1-4 vs. teams ranked in the top 10 in red zone defense. The 49ers have the best combination of third down defense, red zone defense and rushing offense that the Saints have faced. A lot of people talk about the revenge factor as the 49ers bounced the Saints out of the playoffs last year, but I think it's a bit over rated these days. Look at what Giants did to the 49ers on the road when the 49ers supposedly had a motivation edge because they wanted revenge from the Championship game. 49ers should be motivated to bounce the Saints out of the playoff race as I doubt they want to see them again in January.
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