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5.5* Max NCAAB POD **54-23 ATS TY + Late Night Fix Bonus Gua

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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5.5* Max NCAAB POD **54-23 ATS TY + Late Night Fix Bonus Gua

Postby Pick Bot » Thu Mar 21, 2013 7:32 pm


We have two plays going late but they are our top plays of the day including our 5.5* max play of the day where we are 54-23 ATS including yesterday's outright victory on Stony Brook +4.5. The package is guaranteed or one day is FREE and is backed by a full in depth analysis for your betting confidence. But Don't forget our $75 March Madness Package Special guaranteed or 1 month of MLB is FREE!

California +3.5 5.5* NCAAB POD
Cal and UNLV went toe to toe with each other earlier in the year in California's own building. UNLV won at the buzzer and they also beat Cal the year before. Cal was a -1.5 favorite then and now they are +3.5 on a neutral court so how much has changed? I don't think a ton has changed and I see a ton of value in Cal in this spot which is why I think they'll get their revenge. Cal has two of the more talented guards in their back court in Allen Crabbe and Justin Cobbs who can generate offense and create shots for others as well as themselves. UNLV had a hard time stopping them the first time as CAl shot 54.5% from 2 point range and 4-9 from beyond the arch. Expect more of this as Cal shut down UNLV holding them to 42.6% from the field.

Cal is 9th in the nation in 2 point defense 36.6% over their last 3 so don't be surprised if they win this game and get on a roll with these guards. A big part of why this team lost earlier in the year at home is they lost the rebounding battle by 10 as UNLV pulled down 13 offensive rebounds, yet they are 100th in the county in offensive rebounds. I don't expect Cal who is a decent rebounding team in their own right to be at that much of a disadvantage. They also shot 15-28 from the FT line and they are a better FT% team than UNLV 72.5% on the year and 80.2% on neutral court.

UNLV 7-15 ATS in their last 22 overall as the oddsmakers continue to over rate them. They are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. a team with a win % of greater than .600 and the dog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two west coast teams. Add in that Cal is finally getting a region on the west coast and will play less than 2 hours away from Berkely.

Harvard +11 3.3* Late Night Fix
I see why everyone is infatuated with New Mexico and the Mountain West, but Harvard is a sharp shooting team ranked 8th in three point shooting % which is where New Mexico is vulnerable. New Mexico ranks 7th in 2 point defense , but 199th in 3 point defense. New Mexico only faced 11 teams in the top 150 in 3 point % offense and only 2 in their conference games. Looking at those match ups they were in battles especially on the road to Boise State where they won in OT and Air Force who they lost to by 1. Both of those teams ranked 18th and 15th in three point % offense. New Mexico also had issues against St Louis, losing by 16, San Diego STate L by 5, George Mason won by 1 and Davidson won by 5 all who are ranked in the top 150 and many inside the top 50 in three point %. It's a common theme and Harvard is smart enough to know they have to slow this game down make the passes and hit their three's and I think they can stay within winning distance.
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