1.5* Free Pick - #Cardinals vs. #Reds

[Pick Bot]

Cardinals +147 1.5* Free Play
Cardinals right now are hot. After losing the first 4 games against the Pirates they have won back to back games and have put up 24 runs. I look for that to continue on Saturday night despite facing a young Tony Cingrani who has been great. Cingrani has been great, but their is just too much value on the Cardinals in this spot. Cingrani struggles with control sometimes walking 3.48 guys per 9 and he's been largely helped out by a 83.1% LOB% and .240 BABIP. The Cardinals are #1 in average and OPS with runners on. He also has a very high LD% which makes me like the Cards even more because they are #1 with a 22.6% LD.

A further look in on the Cardinals vs. starters who have control issues (3.48 BB/9 or greater) results in 17 starters that they have faced this year. Starting pitchers facing the Cardinals who have control issues have just a 5.85 ERA. Jake Westbrook will make the start for the Cards and over his last 4 vs. the Reds has been dominant with a 1.91 ERA.