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4.5 Dime NCAAB POD **63.4% career winners on 4.5 Dime plays!

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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4.5 Dime NCAAB POD **63.4% career winners on 4.5 Dime plays!

Postby Pick Bot » Fri Mar 19, 2010 7:15 pm


Again yesterday was no fun, but it looks like we might be on the verge of bouncing back with our early play on Cornell. Don't miss out on our NCAAB POD It's a RARE 4.5 Dime play. I have a career 26-15 ATS record on 4.5 Dime plays for an overall win % of 63.4% with our last win coming with the MIlwaukee Bucks on March 12th.

Florida State -1.5 (4.5 Dime POD)
Florida State from the ACC has the nations best defense with Singleton and 7'1 Alabi in the front court. I really like them to upset Gonzaga, a team that is off an emotional loss to St. Mary's. Gonzaga is down this year, and I believe they just won't be able to score like they want to against Florida State. Florida state led the ACC and nation with 37.4% FG defense. Their one flaw is turning the ball over, but Zaga only averages 6.5 steals per game and is not a real threat in forcing turnovers.

Zaga is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 NCAA tournaments and 2-5 ATS vs. ACC opponents including a home loss to Wake Forest earlier in the year. On neutral court I just feel FSU is 5-10 points better than Gonzaga, but thankfully they are the higher seed giving us a nice line at -1.5 to promote people betting on Gonzaga which the public is doing since opening up at pk, but it has moved to -1.5 because a lot of smart money has come in on the nations best defense.

The strength of schedules are just unmatched as Gonzaga has faced 118th ranked strength of schedule while FSU's sits at #54. FSU falls under a nice situation here as they are coming off two games where the total went under and they were the favorite. Teams falling into that situation where the current game is a post season game and they are away or on neutral court are 49-14-1 ATS all time. I look for Florida State's defense to have a real impact on a Gonzaga team that looked like it had no will to win in the West Conference Championship.
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