3.3* Friday Night Lights #NCAAF 9-2 ats run!

[Pick Bot]

We went 2-0 ATS last night and are 9-2 ATS in our last 11 as we look to continue with valuable winning information. Tonight is no different on ESPN we will have two Mountain West Conference opponents going toe to toe coming off losses to a couple of BCS conference teams.

San Jose State +10 3.3* play
We backed both of these teams and watched both games last week as Utah State covered on the road against USC while San Jose State looked awful on the road vs. Minnesota. I think we are getting line value here for the home dog on Friday night on ESPN and I'll back San Jose State up. They were in the game against Minnesota as David Fales was able to move the ball, but untimely turnovers were the main reasons for not having a chance to win as it cost them countless times. This defense also did a tremendous job on stopping the run on 1st down, but couldn't after that. Minnesota features a power running game and a big offensive line that Utah State does not. Don't get me wrong Utah State should be able to run the ball tonight, but they are not known for their physicality and I like San Jose State's defense to have a rebound game against the run especially at home.

Utah State's secondary is very vulnerable despite the stats. They have not faced a team that can pass since week 1 where Tyler Wilson lit them up for 302 yards and 2 TD's while this secondary has not picked off a pass all year. DAvid Fales completed nearly 80% of his passes last year on this defense and had 3 TD and 0 interceptions, but the biggest issue was that he took 13 sacks. With 4 of the 5 starting offensive linemen returning I think they remember that game because they allowed 26 all year and half came in one game. I think it was just bad preparation and this offense will be better here. At the end of the day talk about a rough schedule for Utah State. After a tough loss on the road to a physical defense they have to travel on short rest to play San Jose State who wants revenge from last years game where they played right with them. Not to mention Utah State has got to be looking ahead on their schedule as they host BYU next Friday night and then face Boise State. San Jose State still has some value and is 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games.