3.3** NFL Sunday Night Football #Falcons vs. #Patriots

[Pick Bot]

We are looking to over come a heart breaking loss on our POD this afternoon as the Texans blew a 14 point lead and lost in OT to give us a 1 point ATS loss. We'll look to get some of that loss back tonight in an exciting match up between the Falcons and the Patriots.

Falcons -2.5 3.3* play
The Patriots are getting priced here like they would be the better team on a neutral site and I'm not so sure that's possible right now despite the Patriots being 3-0 and the Falcons being 1-2. The Patriots could have lost 2 of those 3 games and were lucky to face two rookie QB's and Josh Freeman who has since been benched for a rookie. I don't need to introduce Matt Ryan to you, but he is one of the best QB's at home over his career.

Falcons are under valued here and could easily be 3-0 with heart breaking losses against the Dolphins and the Saints in the last minute. The Saints and Dolphins are both quality teams, but the Falcons can not afford to go 1-3 and lose to the Patriots here at home and I don't think they will. The Falcons are also 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games following a SU loss.