4.5** MLB POD 20-3 Run L23 MLB POD's Guaranteed or Season is
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4.5** MLB POD 20-3 Run L23 MLB POD's Guaranteed or Season is
Another winner yesterday on the Cardinals and we continue this amazing run which has us at 20-3 in our last 23 MLB POD's which are the only MLB plays we have been giving out. Just one play against today and it's another top play backed by a full in depth analysis. Success on MLB POD's is nothing new for me as I have profited over $225,000 in my career for $1,000 bettors and have shown a profit in every single season in my career which started in 2009. record and feel free to verify anywhere I release all of my plays 1 minute after game start in my forum and on the website for everyone to see!
Red Sox -113 4.5* MLB POD
The Red Sox lost a tough one and I'll back them tonight as I'll be playing them for the first time in this series. I'll go through the pitching match ups but this play is being made mostly on how this Red Sox offense handles itself. They are by far the best hitting team right now and everyone in this club house loves each other. Now they'll face Jeremy Hellickson who has had their number, but really struggled down the stretch posting a 7.82 ERA. Hellickson really has struggled to go deep into games in the situation he is in tonight which is a playoff atmosphere and on an unordinary amount of extra rest. Hellickson won't be sharp like he has to be against this Red Sox team that is led by David Ortiz who is 9-24 off Hellickson and 4-9 in the series with 2 HR. Hellickson also posted a 4.77 ERA at home and a 5.55 ERA at night in over 130 innings this year. Hellickson will likely be bounced form this game early and the Rays bullpen has not been dominant. Hellickson has not shown the poise to get out of jams all year only stranding 66% runners on base in this year. The league average is around 74%.
Jake Peavy on the other hand has performed very well this season when he's been on 6 or more days of rest and over his last three starts vs. the Rays has very good numbers allowing only 14 hits in 20 innings sporting a 1.05 WHIP. Ben Zoborist has hit him 4-13, but is struggling, 2-11 in the series. Evan Longoria is 3-15 against Peavy and 2-9 in the series. Delmon Young, Dejesus, Jennings, Joyce, Escobar, and Molina are a combined 9-65 against Peavy for an average of .138. Peavy is backed by a much better offense right now and a team that does not want a game 5. Boston overall has scored 1.55 more runs per 9 vs. RHP on the season, 1.31 more for home/away splits and over their last 5 are scoring 11.21 runs per 9, and their last 10 8.65. Peavy's struggles have been against James Loney who is not someone who can change the game with one swing with only 13 HR on the year while Hellickson struggles have come against Ortiz who had 30 HR (23 vs. RHP) and a ridiculous 1.092 OPS vs. RHP. I see Hellickson going 4-5 innings allowing 3-4 ER while Peavy goes 6 allowing 2-3. Boston's bullpen has been better when you look at their last 3 appearances each and I think they will be able to get by with a win here.
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