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5.5* MAX NCAAF POD + **SEC GAME OF THE WEEK** Guaranteed 2-0

Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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5.5* MAX NCAAF POD + **SEC GAME OF THE WEEK** Guaranteed 2-0

Postby Pick Bot » Sat Nov 01, 2014 7:03 pm

Ole Miss -2 4.4* SEC Game of the Week
Auburn is a one dimensional offense ranked 84th in pass and 10th in the run and same goes for their defense they can’t seem to stop the pass, but they are solid vs. the run. Ole Miss strengths fit nice here and they have a solid balanced defense that is one of the best in the nation ranking top 25 in pass and run defense. LSU wasn’t supposed to beat Ole Miss and the offense looked horrible and now we get a spread that’s at least 2 points in our advantage. If Ole Miss wins that game we are looking at them at a -4 favorite in my opinion. This was a 30-22 game last year and Auburn is clearly not the same team, but they are being treated like they are following a 395 yard effort on the ground (a season high) in their last game, but that was against South Carolina ranked 124th in rushing defense.

Ole Miss leans on Bo Wallace to play a good game to win, and I have never trusted him on the road so I wasn’t surprised to see him looking lost at LSU at night with all the noise.. Now people forget what he did against Alabama. People forget what this team did against Alabama. Auburn notoriously wins with big plays and Ole Miss is 3rd allowing just 4.2 yards per play and even better 3.6 at home which is good for 3rd in the country. Auburn’s two struggles this year have been against Miss State 13th passing the ball, and Kansas State 24th. Now they face Ole Miss who has the passing game and a better defense than both. This is basically an elimination game and I’ll take Ole Miss at home to win it.

San Jose State +6.5 5.5* NCAAF POD
Colorado State is looking like the real deal at 7-1 winning on the road against Boston College. IN all three of their close games and losses have come against top 60 pass defenses. Grayson leads Colorado State with a 165 QB rating in 4 conference games, but he’s not as good on the road (136). They won by 3 vs. Utah State who has the 30th ranked pass defense, by 3 against BC who has the 57th, and they lost against Boise State by 13 who is ranked 47th. Enter San Jose State who is ranked #1 in opponent QB rating, #1 in opponent yards/attempt, and #1 in opponent completion %. They even held Auburn to 135 yards passing and they have allowed just 1 passing TD all year without any QB passing for more than 150 yards.

Part of their dominance is nobody tries to pass on them, but Colorado State is averaging less than 3 yards per carry in the running game and will have issues on the road against this team. San Jose State would have a better record if it weren’t for their -7 TO margin in losses. Good news for them Colorado State’s defense is below average and has only forced a total of 7 turnovers on the season. A further look at common opponents and San Jose was +194 vs. Wyoming on the road, Col State was +104 at home. As well as +190 vs. Nevada and while Colorado State was -12 on the road. San Jose State has been a dog 2 of the last 3 years but have won all of these meetings. Colorado State is a very good team, but San Jose State has already played Navy, Minnesota and Auburn so this is nothing new for them.
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