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Friday night action 5.5* max pod + bonus Guarantee 2-0

Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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Friday night action 5.5* max pod + bonus Guarantee 2-0

Postby Pick Bot » Fri Oct 23, 2015 7:03 am

Tulsa +10.5 3.3* play

Tulsa is prime for an upset of Memphis, as this team is a top 10 offensive juggernaut and very similar to Bowling Green whom Memphis struggled with on the road earlier this season. Justin Fuente already asking coaches how he can get his players to focus for their next game after they upset Ole Miss at home with the biggest win in their school history. Fuente sasked Mack Brown and Gary Paterson how to deal with distractions and admitted this. He also said his players were singing and dancing in the locker room. These are kids I’m not surprised with that said there is a lot of talk about a 12-0 season already and nothing is given in this league.

Tulsa is a very under rated team that actually has a better pass defense than Memphis who is ranked 97th to Tulsa’s 90th. Tulsa actually more respectable at home allowing a 117 QB rating. Tulsa is 0-2 in conference play and very hungry to get a win here. Their first two opponents were very good in Houston and East Carolina who they faced on the road. Both considerably better than Memphis is against the pass. Actually when Tulsa hosted Houston it was a reasonably tight game that Tulsa should have been closer than a 14 point loss. Greg Ward killed them rushing for 200 yards from the QB spot and Memphis does not really have that weapon in Paxton Lynch.

Tulsa’s offense should get balance, because Memphis besides the Ole Miss game has not been able to stop the run allowing over 4 yards per carry on the road including 4+ yards per carry to Kansas who is ranked 126th in rushing yardage. A balanced offense should provide a ton of opportunities for Tulsa to cover this game. I also see Memphis coming out flat in this game considering they have fell behind by 10 or more in 4 of their 6 games. I definitely think Tulsa has a shot to win this game, but if I can grab Memphis at pk during live betting it will provide a great opportunity for a free wager to win double which is what I’ll be looking at if Tulsa can get up by 10 or more.

San Diego State +5 5.5* NCAAF POD
These teams are like looking into a mirror yet we get the home dog on national TV with 5 points to spare. Rocky Long is probably one of the most under rated coaches in college football and this team has gotten better and better with each passing week. Utah State is exceptional on defense, but lets be honest this line is inflated for their blow out win against Boise State last week where they were able to force 8 turnovers. In fact the only games this team has won by more than 5 points have been games where they are +3, +2, and +7 in turnover margin. San Diego State just does not turn the ball over and their QB Maxwell Smith has not thrown an interception in 5 games.

Both teams like to run first, and rely on their defenses to stop the run on the other side. Both defenses are top 10 in run defenses and there is no significant advantage although San Diego State has the better running back in D.J. Pumphrey who is very very good and only getting better with 424 yards in his last 3 games. San Diego State’s offensive line is starting to gel after breaking in 3 new OL, but they also got their best player back last week in guard Darrell Greene who was suspended for the first 6 games.

Rocky Long has his players more motivated than they would have been for this game after seeing Utah State beat Boise State. Both teams are undefeated in conference play and are favored now to win their division. Rocky Long is 18-7-1 ATS in his last 26 conference games, and they should have the overall advantage in special teams. They also are far better in red zone defense as Utah State has allowed an alarming 68% TD% success rate.
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