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2.2% Early Bird Special - 42-28 ATS Career in Week 4!

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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2.2% Early Bird Special - 42-28 ATS Career in Week 4!

Postby Pick Bot » Sat Sep 24, 2016 3:32 pm




Akron +6 2.2%
I’m typically a buy low sell high guy and Akron does not really fit that here, but they are still getting tremendous value over an App State team coming into the year with plenty of hype. They lived up to it against Tennessee to open the season, but as I expressed in my free pick last week on Miami. They had all season to prepare for that game. Miami really pointed some weaknesses on this App State team, and at this point their offense has really struggled. Even against Old Dominion they went 2-13 on third down. I certainly do not feel like they deserve to be laying nearly a TD on the road against a pretty good Akron team that deserved to win and cover over Marshall.

Akron returns just 7 starters, but head coach Terry Bowden has brought in some solid power 5 transfers and this team could be as good as Ohio to lead the MAC EAST. I see Appalachian State having some issues getting up for this game after they are coming off their programs biggest home game in school history. Marcus Cox is uncertain for this game and is clearly their best player. Even if he plays I don’t see how long he stays in this game. Akron’s offense is very under rated as Thomas Woodson has 10 TD’s to 2 INT’s and the running game has provided balance so far. I like the fact that the MAC has been pretty good against the Sun Belt going 14-16 since 2010 and 2-1 this year. This is just too much line value to pass up.
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