3.3** Sun Belt Showdown #LAMonroe vs. #Troy 7:30pm

[Pick Bot]

LA Monroe +3.5 3.3* Showdown
I'm going with LA Monroe in this spot tonight they fully dominated Troy last year and return 17 starters. They are finally getting healthy and are the more capable team when it comes to stopping a passing game. They limited Troy's QB Corey Robinson to 19/34 0 TD and 2 INT's last year and a lot of it is because he's not a mobile QB which makes it much easier to defend. On the flip side LA Monroe has a mobile QB in Kolton Browning who returned last Saturday and was great last year 23/31 275 3TD and 0 INT's.

LA Monroe needs to win some games and had a challenging schedule early playing Oklahoma, Baylor and Wake Forest so their strength of schedule is obviously much tougher than Troy's scheduling of Miss State and Duke. Both teams are top 30 in passing play % so it's going to come down to both QB's and who can make more plays. For Troy they go up against a team that's ranked 29th in opposing QB rating with 118 and limited their last 3 opponents to a 94.2 and are 9th in opposing QB rating. Meanwhile Troy is ranked 114th.

Troy is also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games while LA Monroe is 9-3 ATS int heir last 12 road games.