4-Dime POD (72-30 TY +$115K 9 POD W's in a row!)

[Pick Bot]

Take Under 9 runs (-112) 4DIMES (1-5SCALE)
78% of the public is on the over 9.5 runs and the line has moved to 9 runs. The Reds were at -160 but moved to -132 despite 86% of the public being on the Reds. Vegas is expecting a solid performance out of Correia here.

The Padres will face the Reds on Tuesday night in Cincinatti with Kevin Correia on the mound. I'm expecting a solid outing from Correia off his worst start of the year. Three times Correia has given up 5ER or more and he has rebounded each time with a better performance of 2ER, 4ER, and 2ER. I think we can expect the same from him here tonight as the Reds are scoring just 3.83 R/9 in their last 5 games vs. RHP with an average of .216. On the season they are averaging just .255 and 4.07 R/9 at home vs. RHP. I really like his chances here today to have a rebound outing.

Arroyo will take the mound for the Reds who have 16 scoreless innings before his last outing going 5.1IP and 5ER on the road. He will be in a great spot for a rebound against the worst hitting team in the league. Padres are hitting .252 and scoring 3.85 R/9 on the road this season vs. RHP. The Padres have struggled because of their injuries and when you take out Eckstein, Floyd, and Giles all on the DL they have just a .246 average against Arroyo as a team. In his last 2 starts vs. the Padres he went 7IP and gave up 3ER. His effort should improve here off a rebound start and vs. a weakened lineup. Did I mention he is also on 5 days rest!

Padres are under 7-1 L8 as a dog +110-+150. Padres are under 6-2 L8 as an under dog and in their last 8 vs. RH starter.

Reds are Under 10-2 in their last 11 as a favorite -110-150. The Under is 20-6-2 in Arroyo's Last 28 games on 5 days rest.