Monday's Free Pick (28-15 L43 Free Picks) Podcast!

[Pick Bot]

Take Giants/Astros Under 8 Runs -113 1-Dime Play
Today we go with the under on this game as Matt Cain faces off against Mike Hampton. Cain has a 2.27ERA with a 6-1 record on the road this year which is by far the best road pitcher from any team if you ask me. 85% of the public have jumped on board with the Giants yet the line has dropped from -138 to -128. Why would this happen with such a dominant hurler on the mound and one that has pitched well on the road and against the Astros who are struggling against RH starters?

They are expecting a bounce back performance from Mike Hampton here tonight after giving up 9ER in 4IP in his last start. Giants have a .237 average against Hampton in his career and Hampton has a 2.76 ERA in 2GS with Atlanta against the Giants from 2008. Hampton's biggest problem has been the long ball. He's given up HR in his poor starts. Lucky for him on Monday the Giants are ranked 23rd in the league in HRs. I expect a bounce back start from him tonight.

The Under is 8-1 in Cains last 9 following a quality start and the under is 37-15-2 in the Astros last 54 home starts vs. a RH starter now facing one of the best in the bigs here tonight!