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4-Dime POD (75-33 This Year!) 12-3 L15 POD plays!

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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4-Dime POD (75-33 This Year!) 12-3 L15 POD plays!

Postby Pick Bot » Mon Aug 03, 2009 10:15 pm





Take Dodgers -1.5 @ -105
The Brewers have lost 19 of their last 26 meetings with the Dodgers and they have lost 70.3% of their road losses by more than 1 run this year. They send Manny Parra to the mound again who after having two nice starts off the DL against STL/CIN has reverted to his old self over the past two starts he has gone 11 innings 19H 8BB against two subpar hitting teams in the Nationals and Braves. Certainly he should have more trouble making a 10:10 start 2 hours later than he's used to against a Dodger team that has success against him and success against LHP. The Dodgers last 10 have a .343 average and are scoring 8.64 runs per 9 innings vs. LHP. At home this year they have a .303 avg scoring 5.36 runs per 9 innings and have a 2.71 BP ERA which if you know now features LHP George Sherill to shut the door. Dodgers collectively have a .333 average off Parra and should be licking their chops Monday night.

Kershaw will take the mound for the Dodgers in what looks like a pitching mis match as he went 6IP gave up just 2H and 1ER but 5BB against the Brewers on 7/12 in Milwaukee. Since that start he's given up just 2ER over three starts with a 0.86ERA. The Dodgers are 12-3 in his last 15 as a home favorite and the Brewers have a collective .191 avg against Kershaw. Milwaukee's .257 avg on the road vs. LHP worries me as they just lost 3 in San Diego and I am confident the Dodgers will get what they need off Parra and more to cover the run line here today! Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. LHP now facing arguably the best LHP in the National League.
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