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4-Dime MLB POD (20-3 L23!! 98-43 This Year) $20 Guaranteed!

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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4-Dime MLB POD (20-3 L23!! 98-43 This Year) $20 Guaranteed!

Postby Pick Bot » Wed Sep 09, 2009 8:10 pm



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Take Astros + Braves Under 7.5 Runs @ -112 4-Dime POD (1-5scale)
Going with the under here with two studs on the mound with a match up of Hanson vs. Rodriguez. Amazingly enough Wandy Rodriguez has had just two other starts where he has back to back home starts. Well let's go over the numbers for Rodriguez because they are really impressive. He's 8-2 at home this year and his team is 11-2 with a 1.60 ERA. In 90 innings he's given up just 69 hits so he has dominant stuff including not allowing a single stolen base. He's got a 2.25 ERA in his last three including 22 innings of scoreless baseball at home. Tonight I expect him to do much of the same against the Braves who roughed up Cliff Lee 9 games ago which was their last game vs. LH starter have struggled to hit the ball as they have a team average of .162 in their last 5 scoring just 1.69 runs. Rodriguez had a 7 inning 4 H 0 ER performance against the Braves at home in 2008. In 2009 he faced the Braves on May 3rd and went 5 innings gave up 6 hits and 3 walks, and 3 ER I expect a much better start for him at home.

Tommy Hanson has been no slouch for the Braves and he's got a 3.21 ERA in his last three including a 2.68 ERA on the road this year where his team has gotten him just 3 wins in 8 starts. That should keep Hanson's motivation here tonight. He'll face the Astros who are 23-10 at home vs. RH starters, but the under when the Astros face RH starter is 44-18-3 in their last 65 home games. Astros are hitting just .235 scoring 2.73 runs per 9 innings vs. RHP in their last 10 games. So why can't Hanson throw a solid start here tonight? He'll be backed by a bullpen that has a 3.93 ERA on the road this year while Rodriguez if he needs it is backed by a bullpen with a 2.45 ERA in their last 10 games.

Atlanta is under 20-8-1 in their last 29 vs. NL Central. While the Astros are on under runs of 6-0 after following 2 runs or less in previous game, 9-2 their last 11 home, 11-4 vs. RH starter, 12-4 last 16 home starts by Wandy Rodriguez and the under is 6-1 in Houston's last 7 home matchups with the Braves.
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