2011 Home Run Derby Odds - + Freddy 18-2 MLB Run!

[Freddy Wills]

Well we come into the All Star break on a freakish streak going 18-2 in our last 20 MLB plays after a great Sunday going 3-0. First half of the season consisted of a lot of lows and a lot of bad luck, but lately our luck is turning around and we expect a huge turn around in the 2nd half as we are continuing to dominate our play of the days.

It’s Home Run Derby time and we will break down all the players for Monday night’s derby. We won last year with David Ortiz and we’ll be giving out a pick with two selections and we will try to have another profitable day. This year’s All Star game is being held at Chase Field in Arizona. The dimensions around the ball park are pretty symmetrical the only differences being down the line with left field being 330 feet and right field at 334 feet. So a small advantage goes out to the righties. We should see plenty of home runs this year as Chase Field is 6th for home runs with 101 and 5th in OPS with .759 for teams playing here. This year’s field has a combined 155 home runs. Don't miss our pick you can find it right here as we will give you 3* total split between two contenders



Jose Bautista, Toronto Blue Jays - 31 home runs (+250)
Bautista is not a one year wonder that’s for sure if anything he has gotten better. He comes into this derby as one of the hottest bats in the majors. He has homered 5 times in his last 10 games and is the oddsmaker’s favorite to win the derby on Monday.

Prince Fielder, Milwaukee Brewers - 22 home runs (+300)
Fielder is an experienced home run derby champion. He won it in 2009 when he had 23 total home runs as he out lasted Nelson Cruz and at +500 why not. Fielder has hit 67% of his home runs at home, but he does have a good history of hitting home runs in Arizona as he has 54 at bats and 4 HR which is a pretty good ratio and we have to take him serious considering his experience. get more .

Matt Holliday, St. Louis Cardinals – 14 home runs (+600)
Holliday has the lowest total of any of these sluggers, but he has been here before this will be his third time in the home run derby so like Fielder there is experience. He has four home runs in his last 7 games so he has picked up his bat a lot, but then again Holliday is primarily a line drive hitter it did not pay off for him a year ago with just 5 home runs. He’s only hit four home runs over 167 at bats in Arizona over his career.

David Ortiz, Boston Red Sox – 19 home runs (+300)
Ortiz is the reigning Home Run Derby champ and we had him a year ago as he cashed in at +300 for us. Ortiz has just 2 home runs over his last 10 games and worth mentioning that we have not had a repeat winner in the Derby since 1998-99 when Ken Griffey Jr. was champion in back to back years.

Adrian Gonzalez, Boston Red Sox – 17 home runs (+725)
Gonzalez has a lot of value here seeing that he has 169 at bats at Chase Field when he played with the Padres. He’s more of a line drive hitter like Holliday and has just 1 HR over his last 10 games combined, but with 13 home runs in 169 at bats. So he’s had pretty good success and is very familiar with the ball park. We like Gonzalez’s chances to get into the later rounds because of his experience in Arizona.

Matt Kemp, Los Angeles Dodgers – 22 home runs (+800)
Kemp is a real threat for the NL triple crown and having an MVP like year. Unfortunately the Dodgers can’t win games, but Kemp continues to dominate the league. Kemp though has not hit a home run in 12 games. Kemp has just 4 home runs in 124 career at bats and is a newbie for the derby.

Robinson Cano, New York Yankees – 15 home runs (+500)
Cano is another slugger making his derby debut Monday. Cano has hit 11 of his 15 HR at home this year and has just 12 at bats in Arizona without a HR. He’s known for his ability to hit for average and has a batting title under his belt not so much for his power as he’s a line drive hitter. In fact he’s got just 1 home run in his last 22 games.

Rickie Weeks, Milwaukee Brewers – 17 home runs (+1200)
When have you seen a leadoff hitter in the home run derby. Weeks though does have 3 HR in his last 10 games heading into the derby and is not new to the long ball as he hit 29 home runs last year. In 55 at bats in Chase Field he has 3 home runs.