Tuesday's Pick and Pitching Match Ups - 16-5 L21 MLB POD

[Freddy Wills]

Get the full write up on this play in my daily article in the match up of and .


We are now on a run and 52-31 on the season for with Monday night's play pending. On Tuesday we have a full card and a bunch of pitchers throwing the ball well. A total of ten have ERA's under 3.00 over their last three starts combined. With the positive comes the negative as we have six pitchers with ERA's over 6 in their last three combined.


Johnny Cueto gets the ball in LA and he is coming off a great June where he posted a 1.74 ERA which included a 1.35 ERA over his last three. Cueto has been dominant on the road posting a 2.24 ERA and I think he will be plenty motivated after not being selected to the All Star game which in my opinion is a complete joke. Cueto has struggled number wise vs. the Dodgers as they have posted a 1.016 OPS, but Cueto does not have to face Matt Kemp or Mark Ellis who were a combined 9-17 with 2 HR. Cueto has good numbers vs. the Dodgers actually posting a 2.08 ERA in 4 career starts when you take out his lone poor start. Capuano on the other hand can not claim the same.

First of all the Reds have been consistent with the bats and are ranked 8th in OPS vs. LHP. Phillips, Votto, Bruce and Phillips all have OPS over 1.000 vs. Capuano as they are a combined 24-60 with 5 HR. Capuano has a 6.75 ERA in his last 4 vs. the Reds over the last three years. The Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 road vs. a LH starter and 20-7 in Cueto's last 27 as a favorite while the Dodgers are now 3-11 in their last 14 at home as an underdog. All of this after they posted a .571 OPS in June which was good for dead last in the league. The reds were 8th in June and are scoring roughly 2 runs better per 9 over the last 10 games.

A.J. Burnett (3-0, 1.19 WHIP, 2.33 ERA)
Max Scherzer (2-1, 0.85 WHIP, 2.25 ERA)
Lucas Harrell (1-2, 1.03 WHIP, 2.53 ERA)
Vance Worley (1-2, 1.05 WHIP, 2.70 ERA)
Jeff Francis (3-0, 0.94 WHIP, 1.69 ERA)
Felix Hernandez (3-0, 0.87 WHIP, 2.14 ERA)
Chris Capuano (2-1, 0.86 WHIP, 2.05 ERA)
Jordan Zimmermann (1-2, 1.40 WHIP, 2.25 ERA)


Though this is not going to be any sort of a sports pick that is backed by our we still like to give out the cold pitcher with the best shot at winning because often times there is a lot of value. Today's pitcher Dan Haren who posts an 8.31 ERA over his last three starts. However, he has dominated the Indians in 231 AB the Indians hitters have just a .612 OPS.


Anibal Sanchez (2-1, 1.62 WHIP, 6.48 ERA)
Nick Blackburn (2-1, 1.69 WHIP, 7.88 ERA)
Vin Mazzaro (1-2, 2.03 WHIP, 8.71 ERA)
Brett Cecil (2-1, 1.59 WHIP, 6.06 ERA)
Chris Volstad (0-3, 2.08 WHIP, 10.38 ERA)