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Monday 7/22 Free Play -& Pitching Report

  
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Monday 7/22 Free Play -& Pitching Report

Postby Freddy Wills » Sun Jul 22, 2012 9:31 pm

Don't miss out on the full write up when the Twins play the White Sox in the match up of and .


Monday's card has six pitchers that have been pitching well with ERA's under 3.00 over their last three starts combined while it also has six pitchers with ERA's over 6.00 over their last three starts combined.


Francisco Liriano is surrounded by trade rumors, but that has not seemed to bother him much as he has posted a 2.61 ERA over his last three starts combined. He's pretty much held the White Sox in check over his career holding their active hitters to a .699 OPS with a 154 AB. Liriano's last 3 starts vs. the White Sox he has posted a 1.64 ERA. The White Sox have struggled vs. lefties at times this year and I see a lot of value in this play for that reason. The Twins are 7-0 in Liriano's last 7 vs. the White Sox. However, he is not the biggest reason why I like this as a free play.

Gavin Floyd has really struggled and he's coming off the DL from tendinitis to make his first start. He has struggled even more at home against the Twins posting a 13.03 ERA over his last 4 starts dating back to 2010. The Twins have 202 AB with a .347 average and a .935 OPS with Joe Mauer leading the hit parade going 18-42 off Floyd. Mauer has also been red hot with the bat which is a big reason why the Twins have been hitting well and are 11th in OPS in the month of July. They have also hit .285 vs. RHP scoring 4.92 R/9 over their last 10 games. The Twins should also be able to score some runs off the White Sox bullpen that has a 6.83 ERA over their last 10 games.

Jeff Samarzdija (2-1, 1.21 WHIP, 2.37 ERA)
Gavin Floyd (2-1, 1.20 WHIP, 1.80 ERA)
Jordan Zimmerman (2-1, 0.74 WHIP, 0.47 ERA)
Joe Kelly (1-2, 1.28 WHIP, 2.00 ERA)
Ryan Vogelsong (2-1, 0.95 WHIP, 2.70 ERA)


Though this is not going to be any sort of a sports pick that is backed by our we still like to give out the cold pitcher with the best shot at winning because often times there is a lot of value. Today's pitcher is Josh Johnson who has struggled on and off all season, but he has been better pitching at home where he will be on Monday where he posts a 3.63 ERA. He's also dominated the Braves over his career and has held their hitters to a .610 OPS in 161 AB with a .224 average.


Justin Masterson (2-1, 2.11 WHIP, 6.89 ERA)
Randy Wolf (1-2, 1.53 WHIP, 7.13 ERA)
Roy Halladay (1-2, 1.54 WHIP, 7.62 ERA)
Bruce Chen (1-2, 2.25 WHIP, 10.80 ERA)
Eric Bedard (1-2, 1.93 WHIP, 6.00 ERA0
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Freddy Wills
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