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Sportsbetcapping.com' Free Play 8/16 27-11 L38

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Sportsbetcapping.com' Free Play 8/16 27-11 L38

Postby Freddy Wills » Thu Aug 15, 2013 9:57 pm

Tigers -155 2.5* Free Play
Check out my blog for the full in depth analysis and probable pitching report. It will be

picks for week 2 in the preseason continued on Thursday and now we move to Friday for more of our . We have gone 27-11 in our last 38 and we look to continue that on Friday where we have 6 pitchers considered to be hot over their last 3 starters and 6 pitchers that are ice cold.

Justin Verlander has had a weird season highlighted by control problems, but he's posted a 2.57 ERA over his last three starts and 2 of those came on 5 days rest which means he's plenty rested for this day start on Thursday. Verlander has actually flat out dominated during day starts this season posting a 2.46 ERA this season and looking back further he has a 2.41 ERA over the last three years. He's pitched well on 4 days rest with 12 of 14 quality starts and has a 2.77 ERA at home on 4 days rest. Tigers are 40-16 in his last 56 overall on 4 days rest. He's had plenty of success dominating the Royals too especially at home where he posts a 1.74 ERA since 2011.

Royals on the other hand start Danny Duffy who had a 5 IP and 5 ER performance in his only start at Detroit. Duffy has not been very good int he minors over 9 AAA starts he is walking 4.13 guys per 9 and that is just not going to cut it on the road against the Tigers who are scoring 5.85 runs per 9 vs. LHP at home. These are great for the Tigers if you can grab these odds early as they are 39-12 in their last 51 as a favorite -151-200.

Zack Greinke (3-0, 19.2 IP, 1.07 WHIP, 1.83 ERA)
Chad Gaudin (3-0, 18.1 IP, 0.98 WHIP, 0.98 ERA)
Nathan Eovaldi (1-2, 20 IP, 1.05 WHIP, 1.35 ERA)
Alex Wood (2-1, 19 IP, 0.74 WHIP, 1.89 ERA)
R.A. Dickey (2-1, 20.2 IP, 1.21 WHIP, 1.74 ERA)

Jake Westbrook (1-2, 17 IP, 1.47 WHIP, 6.35 ERA)
Brandon McCarthy (0-3, 14 IP, 1.71 WHIP, 6.43 ERA)
Jose Alvarez (1-2, 13.2 IP, 1.76 WHIP, 6.59 ERA)
Andy Pettitte (1-2, 14 IP, 2.21 WHIP, 6.43 ERA)
Jeremy Hellickson (0-3, 12 IP, 2.06 WHIP, 9.75 ERA)
Juan Nicasio (1-2, 14 IP, 2.14 WHIP, 9.64 ERA)

Note: Today's Free pick along with all of our sports picks will be backed by our third party . Also check out our and college football preview articles as we have already posted the
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Freddy Wills
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