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2.2 ** Free MLB Play - Cubs vs. Pirates (2:20pm et)

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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2.2 ** Free MLB Play - Cubs vs. Pirates (2:20pm et)

Postby Pick Bot » Sun Apr 03, 2011 2:25 pm




Under 12.5 runs (2.2* play)
The winds in these early games are the reason you see a total so high, but the starting pitchers are reason for this line is off and way off in my opinion. OHlendorf is successful against teams that are not a top offense. Against the 10 worst offenses in 2010 he had a 2.77 ERA. He has three career starts vs. the Cubs and has given up 3 ER in 20 innings. 42 AB against him the Cubs have managed a .190 average. He had 11 of 21 quality starts a year ago so he is not terrible he also only gave up 8 ER in 5 day starts a year ago. Garza meanwhile had a 2.06 ERA in April and a 2.63 ERA during his day starts a year ago. The anemic bats of the Pirates have never seen him so it's going to take a couple of innings before they have a chance and I really like the way Garza competes. I think he has a solid year now being in the NL getting to face the pitcher once every 9 at bats. Under is 20-5-2 in Ohlendorfs last 27 starts as an underdog.
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