4.5** MLB POD goes early with bonus going late! 47-25 L72 pi

[Pick Bot]

Don't miss out we have won three MLB pods in a row and we have two plays tonight both backed by a full in depth analysis!

Reds -120 4.5* MLB POD
Despite the momentum being on the side of the Giants and the Reds haven’t won a game at home in like 18 years or so after losing the first two at home here I am going back with the Reds after taking the Giants in game 3 and with no pick in game 4.  I think the Reds are primed to make a come back here at home where they were 50-31 this year.  The Reds have an advantage, yes I said it an advantage on the mound in todays game which I will get to in a second, but the Reds have also not lost 3 games in a row at home all year.
 
Matt Latos takes the mound and he’s on full rest and in his career he’s dominated the Giants.  Okay this is not the Giants offense of years past, but Latos won’t have to super deep into the game before that league’s #1 bullpen ERA to take over.  In 11 career starts he has a 2.19 ERA against the Giants.  Latos has also pitched extremely well this year and has a 2.76 ERA during 13 day games where he went 6-0.  He goes up against the Giants who are 27th in OPS in day games and have a losing record.  Reds are 23-10 winning 70% of the games when Latos starts.  Latos has held the Giants hitters in 177 career AB to a .209 and .527 OPS with just a .239 OBP.  He’s dominated Angel Pagan 2-15 vs. him who is the key to that Giants lineup.
 
On the other side we have one of the NL’s best pitchers in Matt Cain who the Reds have hit hard this year.  Cain 0-3 with a 5.50 ERA vs. the Reds this year and in 138 AB against him they have combined for an .805 OPS.  Cain is a fly ball pitcher and he’s largely benefited from playing in San Fran while pitching in Cinci won’t be nearly as easy.  Cain has an ERA that’s 1.53 higher on the road as all of his raw stats diminish.  His K/BB ratio is just 2.88 on the road while it’s over 5 at home and he’s giving up 1.16 HR/9 on the road with a 4.19 xFIP.  Bruce, Ludwick, Voto are 21-68 against Cain and Brandon Phillips adds 2 HR during regular season games, but he also has a HR in the playoffs from game 1 against Cain.  This game will be tight and I lean heavily to the team with the better bullpen and is at home with better numbers against the starter.
 
Athletics +133 3* play
The A’s have all the momentum right now after last night’s shocking come from behind victory and I think it’s over for the Tigers.  First of all Jarrod Parker has been unbelievable at home posting an ERA under 3 while Verlander on the road has a 3.57 ERA.  Verlander for all the attention he gets has not been the best in the playoffs as he has a 4.96 ERA over 9 career starts.  As this game goes late and as it’s close the A’s will have a major advantage and I think they come through as the under dog wins again.