**35-11 L46 Football Plays - 1pm Double Feature - Guaranteed

[Pick Bot]

Don't miss out on the two play package guaranteed or one day is FREE backed by a full in depth analysis on both plays. In actuality we are going to guarantee a 2-0 performance on a 3.3* play and a 4.4* play based on a 1-5* scale so don't miss out! We have been dominant on our NFL plays all year.

Tampa Bay +2 3.3* play
On paper this looks like a mismatch for the Bucs since they are 31st allowing 312 yards passing, but that's smoke and mirrors. This team has allowed the third least amount of passing TD's and haven't allowed one in 3 games. Brees has all the hype on his side with the record breaking performance and now this team comes off a bye, but I'm still not convinced they fixed the issues that reside on their defense and now they faced a team that has a balanced attack.

TBs offense is starting to get some confidence with Blount/Martin combining for 145 yards last week and the Bucs passing for 318. They have two big athletic options at WR that the Saints won't be able to cover in this one in Mike Williams and Vincent Jackson. I expect that duo to have a huge game here today. As we know the Saints are a pass first team and have been unable to get balance and today will be no different facing the leagues #1 rushing defense. The Saints only played one other top 10 run defense and that was the Chargers who they trailed at home by 10 before coming back, but the Bucs actually have a spine and that won't happen on them. TB should be good enough in pass defense they are actually 12th in opposing QB rating while the Saints are 30th and have allowed a 123 rating in their road games. Josh Freeman should have a good game.

The difference will come in the red zone. Both are top 10 red zone offenses, Saints 3rd, and Bucs 6th, but the Saints without Jimmy Graham will present them a lot of issues against the Bucs who are 2nd in red zone defense allowing just 25% TD's. The Saints are 21st and have allowed 80% TD's in the red zone on the road.

Browns +2 4.4* play
The Browns are so under rated and we had them in a huge win last week. This game is interesting as it's a repeat of the Fiesta Bowl in Brandon Weeden vs. Andrew Luck. Weeden just has more talent and balance behind him on both sides of the ball and the strengths really match up well for him in this game. First of all the Browns easily could be 3-0 on the road with chances to win all three games vs. the Ravens, Giants and Bengals and that's saying a lot since all three were in the playoffs last year.

The Colts were exposed a bit last week in New York allowing 252 rushing yards to an offense that hadn't been able to run the ball all year. The Browns should have success doing both passing and running and I'll tell you why. Trent Richardson and Montario Hardesty are as good as any tandem in the league, yep I said it. and now they finally get to go up against a run defense that's just not very good in the Colts ranked 29th. This will be a good game for them as they won't have to throw the ball on every play. Both of these teams are 28th and 29th in fewest run play % which says something about their faith in the QB.

At the end of the day Weeden will be able to find some open receivers because they will have a working running game and the Colts edge pressure won't be a factor against the Browns who are in the top 10 in protecting their QB. Browns have Joe Thomas and Michael Schwartz protecting the dge who are as good as any. Look for the Browns to be able to also score TD's and not field goals as the Colts are 32nd in red zone defense allowing 73.68% TD's while the Browns are 15th 50%.