4.4** NBA POD 35-17-2 Ats this year guaranteed
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4.4** NBA POD 35-17-2 Ats this year guaranteed
Wizards +4 4.4* NBA pod
Wizards +4 4.4* (NBA POD)
Ton of value here in this line. Memphis is going to be playing without Marc Gasol which is a huge key for them since they take roughly 85% of their shots from 2 point range and they'll be going against one of the better 2 point defensive teams in the Wizards who rank 7th.
Memphis also just beat Boston and has the Knicks and Rockets up next so they'll likely also be looking ahead to those games. The Wizards are a solid home team and I think they will win outright tonight as they have the ingredients to pull off the upset. They have the 2 point defense and the ability to hit 3's which is where Memphis is vulnerable allowing 37% from there on the road which is good for 16th.
However, without Gasol in the lineup I think the Wizards can shoot a bit better in the paint as well. Washington is 39.1% from three at home which is good for 4th in the NBA. The Wizards also score their most points on 1 days rest while the Grizzlies score their least. Wizards are 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 after allowing 100+ points, 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games and 23-7-1 ATS in their last 31 vs. the West.
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