1.1** Free Play #PinstripeBowl #Rutgers vs. #NotreDame

[Pick Bot]

Notre Dame/Rutgers U53.5 1.1* Free Play
Looking at this game Notre Dame can not be excited to be here and the fact that they were 116th in plays per game this year I'm not worried about them running up the score. Meanwhile Rutgers has been elite at stopping the run even against some of the better teams on their schedule like Arkansas who is a very good running team. That does not fit Notre Dame well because they have struggled to run the ball and when they put up a ton of points this year it had more to do with them being able to run the ball. Rutgers is one of the worst pass defenses they have faced ranked 111th in QB rating and fits Tommy Rees well, but the 3 other bad pass defenses he faced ranked 124th, 104th, and 101st where he put up 45, 28, and 38 points two of those games were at home and not one of those teams was in the top 80 in run defense.

Tommy Rees is better when he has play action and a balanced attack. I see Notre Dame between 28 and 35 points while I see Rutgers between 10 and 17 and even at 35-17 we are still under the total. The under is 15-3 in Rutgers last 18 games following a SU win by 20+ and 7-1 in their last 8 vs. Independent teams while Notre Dame is 35-15-1 on the under in their last 51 on grass.