Monday's Free Pick (12-5 L17 plays)

[Pick Bot]

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We took two days off our free picks.

Tonight we come back with Baltimore and Boston game as the match up we are looking at.

For Boston they send John Lester to the mound looking to pitch another quality start. He did give up 3ER to the Nationals the last time out, but continues to throw well here. He has solid numbers against Baltimore over his career including 7 innings of shutout baseball giving up 4hits and striking 9 batters out earlier this year. Baltimore is hitting just .280 vs. LHP and scoring 4.43 runs per 9 innings. You would think Boston is the clear cut winner, but I disagree as Boston will go up against Jason Berken for the first time ever.

Berken has never faced the Red Sox which could be good news for him if he throws strikes. Boston is struggling vs. RHP just .210 average and 3.10 runs per 9 innings vs. RHP last 5 games. With 91% of the public on Boston here the line has dropped from -165 to -161 in most places telling me that Vegas is expecting a solid start from Berken and the Boston lineup to struggle.

Baltimore under 7-1-1 last 9 home vs. LHP
Boston under 12-2-3 last 17 following a loss.

Take Under 10 runs 1DIME PLAY