5.5* MAX NCAAB POD + Bonus play going early - Guaranteed 2-0
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5.5* MAX NCAAB POD + Bonus play going early - Guaranteed 2-0
Kansas State -1.5 3.3* play
Kansas State comes into this game going 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 home games. They are just a different team at home and while West Virginia has been good on the road 3-1 they are very flawed. If their defense can not force turnovers they are in trouble considering they rank 239th in defending the 2. Kansas State has been shooting nearly 80% of their shots from inside and they have been doing it well ranking 2nd in the conference. Meanwhile West Virginia is 7th in the conferenc ein that stat and Kansas State although not great is better than the Mountaineers at defending the 2 which is where the majority of the shots will come from tonight (roughly over 70%). I will also go with the better rebounding team which Kansas State is whent hey are at home. The biggest factor though is FT rate which WV has been very bad in conference play sending opponents to the line nearly 34 times a game and -5 margin compared with Kansas State who is at +8 in conference play. If Kansas State can limit their turnovers they should win this by double digits. They are also 6-3 vs. teams that rank in the top 50 in turnover % forced, but tonight they do have their hands full with the #1 team, but I think they are up to the test.
Florida -1 5.5* NCAAB POD
Florida is a desperate team right now meanwhile Auburn just came off a home win over their biggest rival in Auburn in dramatic fashion. Florida is a far better team that has gotten really unlucky this year but they are top 60 in 2 point offense and defense as well as top 100 in offense and defensive rebounding. Alabama not a good rebounding team at all ranks 187th in rebound rate on the season while Florida is 78th. I see a bit of a hang over for Alabama here with Kentucky up next it's a nice sandwich game and I love how desperate this Florida team should be here tonight. Alabama also is 0-3 vs. top 50 2 point defensive teams which Florida fits. Meanwhile Florida is 6-1 vs. teams that do not rank in the top 100 in adjusted defense which Alabama fits. Florida has faced a more challenging schedule ranked 16th toughest and it will benefit them down the stretch.
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