Saturday's 2* Free Play - 79-47 ATS L126 Football Picks

[Pick Bot]

Nevada +105 2* Free Play

Buffalo is 3-0 ATS, and that's a shock to me, and their most recent game is quite misleading. They went and beat Florida Atlantic 33-15, but their offense only scored 10 points, and they were -200 yards against Florida Atlantic who was playing without their best player in QB Jacquez Johnson who was injured in the previous game. Buffalo's defense has kept them above water with 8 turnovers, but still they are ranked 76th in sack % having played Penn State. Nevada comes into this game ranked 38th having played some pretty damn good teams in Arizona and Texas A&M.

For Nevada this is a long trip across the country, but it is a 3:30 game so I think they will be okay, and I think the talent level is bigger than the oddsmaker's think. The MAC is played well this season which has created a lot of interest in backing teams from the MAC, but the MAC West is far inferior to the MAC East, and Buffalo should be one of the worst from the Mac West. I don't like this offense that was supposed to be better and it's already shown because they couldn’t move the ball on Florida Atlantic, an defense ranked 100th in the country. Nevada will benefit from playing 2 challenging games as well as having 15 extra bowl practices in 2014. They lost their QB Cody Fajardo which is everyone's concern, but I didn't think he was that good, and their new QB should get plenty of time while Buffalo's QB will be under pressure in his own building.