Late Night Fix - Total - New Mexico vs. Hawaii - 57.7% Total

[Pick Bot]

Hawaii / New Mexico Over 63.5 2.2% play
This total has come down nearly 4 points and that’s enough for me to take the over as I have this one predicted at 70 total points. New Mexico features the #4 run offense in terms of yards per carry. Hawaii has really struggled stopping the run. Hawaii has given up 51, 63, 47, and 41 points to teams in the top 32 in rushing yards per carry. Air Force is not in the top 50 this year, but they too had nearly 400 yards rushing on Hawaii, but somehow managed just 27 points. New Mexico should have their way with Hawaii in an back and forth game.

It’s also important to note that Hawaii is a much improved team and they are starting to get balanced behind their QB Dru Brown who had 3 passing TD’s a week ago. Hawaii’s offense at this point is capable of beating a team in the air or on the ground which makes for an exciting offensive display here tonight against New Mexico who is given up 30+ points to teams ranked 67th, 128th, 77th, and 125th in yards per play allowed. Hawaii is in the top 25 as is New Mexico’s offense in yards per play. These are offensive teams that can score on average to even above average defenses. Both recently faced Air force who ranks 36th in yards per play allowed and they put up 45 and 34 points each. Expect that kind of score as Hawaii is scoring 85% TD’s in the red zone, New Mexico is allowing 81% in conference play.