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Today we have Carpenter vs. Arroyo on what looks to be a good game pitching wise.. but I disagree.

Carpenter coming off a rough outing and has a 4.58ERA in his last three seems to be a little off right now. Reds .289 average vs. RHP as of late tells me they should be able to get some runs here at home in a ball park that is not exactly pitcher friendly.

Arroyo will head to the mound for the Reds with a 1.98whip and a 7.47ERA in his last three starts. The Cardinals may be able to score the 8 runs on their own in this one, but I don't doubt the Reds will be right there. The cardinals are batting .278 and have scored 7.71R/9 in their last 5 vs. RHP. I'd be confident in saying they'll hit the ball as they are a streaky hitting team they were down last week, but seem to be putting it together now.

The Over is 42-16-3 the last 61 games for the Cardinals where the total is 7-8.5. The line has moved around quite a bit and the public is on the Cardinals but the line has moved towards the Reds. Don't be surprised if the Reds hit here today folks.

Take Under 8 runs -115 4DIME POD