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[Pick Bot]

Take Phillies -1.5 @ -135 (4DIMES)(1-5SCALE)
No choice really but to go with the run lines today with the rich juice all around the league tonight. However, I really like this matchup and the money line has moved 50 points in favor of the Phillies since opening. I really think you will see Hamels throw one of his best games. Why? Mainly because he has been on spot as of late yes he has a 3.50 ERA over last 3 not that impressive, but only 1BB (his kryptonite) in 18IP with 13K's is really impressive. He'll face the worse hitting team in the league in the Padres on revenge here tonight as his only match up this year against the Padres came in the beginning of the year when 1.) Hamels was struggling 2.) Padres were hot with Adrian Gonzalez hitting all those HR's and he pitched 6IP gave up 5ER. Tonight much has changed in his previous 5 career starts against the Padres he has a 2.40 ERA and he'll face their worst lineup yet.

On the hill for the Padres is Kevin Correia who has pitched well, but he's got not much of a chance here against the sizzling Phillies who lost yesterday, but should be ready to win here tonight. Correia in 1 start vs. Philly this year went 4.1IP gave up 10H 4ER 3BB on 2HR. The Phillies have a team batting average of .333 vs. Correia. Despite their now .500 record at home the Phillies are averaging 5.42 runs per 9 innings at home vs. RHP. If they score 5 they should win by 4 or 3 easily.

Additionally the Phillies are 11-1 L12 as favorites and 5-1 L6 vs. RH starters at home. Of their 24 home wins 79% of them have come by more than 1 run while the Padres have lost 69% of their away games by more than 1 run. If we are speaking statistics only we have a great shot of covering the run line. Good Luck!