2-Dime Oddsline Error Play **75% Run on OE since July 1st!**

[Pick Bot]

Ramirez was a big reason for the run line play he was in the original lineup and now is scratched no play on the CUBS!! Take Cubs -1.5 @-125 2Dime Play (1-5 scale)
We are going with the Cubbies this afternoon as the Pirates come over from Colorado yesterday to Chicago to play in a day game against the Cubs who just got swept by the Phillies. There is no mistake that Aramis Ramirez is more important than many realize. They were 0-5 without him in the lineup during this 5 game losing streak and their offense struggled mightily when he was out earlier this season. He is now back and ready to start tonight. He's a day player at heart and leads this team with a .404 average in 52 AB during the day. Actually the Cubs may just be the best day team out there as they are averaging .268 .28 points higher than during night play and creating nearly 1 full run more per 27 outs than they do at night. Pirates on the other hand hit .14 points lower during the day and a .53 runs created per 27 outs less during the day than night. Add in the fact that they are traveling here and I like the play.

Wells will go for the Cubs coming off a 5 ER against the Rockies. Well the Pirates can't be compared to the Rockies and WElls dominated 7IP 6H 1 BB 1ER vs. a Pirates lineup that still featured Sanchez and Laroche. He's got a 2.61 ERA over his last three and has showed no signs in his first season of having worse numbers in his second appearance against a team. The Pirates are 8-21 in their last 29 vs. a RH starter. The Pirates have hit .221 scoring 2.83 runs per 9 vs. RHP and not much higher over their last 10 and have 8.13 BP ERA which they wore out yesterday in Colorado a bit. Expect Morton to have to eat some innings and that could mean bad things at Wrigley for the Pirates who are 3-12 in their last 15 here.

Charlie Morton 0-2 with a 8.00 ERA during the day this season and he'll have to face a Cubs lineup he did not do well against the first time last year in Atlanta going 2.1 IP giving up 4H 4ER and 4BB and a HR. I'm loving this play as the Pirates are 7-45 in their last 52 games as a dog +201 or greater and the Cubs have won 75.8% of their home wins by more than 1 run including 10 in a row!