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Matt Fargo Sports Picks

You will find all of Matt Fargo's sports betting picks right here every day! Both his free sports picks and guaranteed sports picks will be posted here.

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  • Matt Fargo Matt Fargo
    Matt is coming off another WINNING NFL campaign in 2015 and is already 9-4-1 (69%) this season! He won his clients a FANTASTIC +$13,360 LY and has now WON an UNBELIEVABLE $43,020 in the NFL over the last 3+ seasons!
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    CFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
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    Football is back and Fargo is ready to DOMINATE yet again! He went 86-61-3 (+$18,950) in the NFL and 95-76-1 (+$13,010) in NCAAF last season but his success is not limited to just those! Since the start of the 2012 CFL season, Fargo is a TREMENDOUS 60-43 (+$13,505)!

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    WNBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
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    Fargo has DOMINATED the NBA this season and like last season, he expects to once again DOMINATE the WNBA! He went a MASSIVE 40-27 +$11,040 in the WNBA YTD during the regular season and postseason and is expecting another HUGE season in 2016!

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    NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
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    Matt is ready for another big College Football season so jump on board as his record speaks for itself! 2013: NCAAF 86-73 +$6,082 2014: NCAAF 89-76 +$6,469 2015: NCAAF 95-76 +$13,010

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    Matt is ready for another big NFL season so jump on board as his record speaks for itself! 2013: NFLX 7-4 +$2,600 NFL 87-69 +$10,952 2014: NFLX 8-4 +$3,750 NFL 76-63 +$7,918 2015: NFLX 10-4 +$5,590 NFL 76-57 +$13,360

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    YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
    Matchup Selection W/L
    CFL  |  Sep 24, 2016
    Winnipeg vs Calgary
    Winnipeg
    +10 -125 at 5Dimes
    Won
    $100
    Play Type: Top Premium

    The two hottest teams in the CFL square off on Saturday as Winnipeg heads to Calgary in a pivotal West Division matchup. The Blue Bombers won their seventh straight game last week as they rolled over Toronto and only one of those seven wins has been by less than a touchdown. Considering Winnipeg started the season 1-4, it has been a huge turnaround and has been keyed by a five-game winning streak on the road. The defense has been outstanding as after allowing 27 ppg in those first five games, the Blue Bombers have allowed just 19 ppg during their winning streak. Calgary meanwhile has not lost a game since opening week as it is on a 10-0-1 run and has clearly separated itself from the rest of the league. The Stampeders have covered their last seven games which is giving us solid value the other way. They were favored by just one more point in the last meeting that took place here but Winnipeg is a different team now that is playing with great confidence. The change at quarterback to Matt Nichols has made the offense much more efficient and they will be getting running back Andrew Harris back for the game today after a six-game stint on the IR. Winnipeg is a perfect 4-0 ATS this season on the road as a single-digit underdog. 10* (495) Winnipeg Blue Bombers

    Matchup Selection W/L
    WNBA  |  Sep 24, 2016
    Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty
    New York Liberty
    +2½ -103 at pinnacle
    Lost
    $103.0
    Play Type: Top Premium

    This is the third straight game to open the WNBA playoffs where the road team is favored. In the first two games on Wednesday, there was no issue with that based on the seedings of the teams but now, this should not be the case. Phoenix is laying over a bucket on the road and while it is clearly the hotter teams, it is not the better team. The Mercury have won three straight games but even with the last two coming on the road, they are just 6-12 in 18 road games on the season. New York had a first round bye which came at a perfect time as it enters the postseason riding a three-game losing streak. The Liberty were not at full strength in the final two games however as they rested players after already having locked up the No. 3 seed. Brittney Griner usually has an edge down low for Phoenix but this is one matchup where that is not the case. Tina Charles has been dominating all season and that includes games against the Mercury as she has averaged 26.6 ppg and 11.0 rpg in three games against Phoenix this season. New York won two of the three meetings with the lone loss coming in overtime. In the two meetings in New York, the Liberty were favored by the same amount they are getting here so there is a five-point swing and this includes one meeting just three weeks ago and there is no way these teams are that far different from then until now. 10* (606) New York Liberty

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
    South Carolina vs Kentucky
    Kentucky
    -2 -105 at BMaker
    Won
    $100
    Play Type: Free

    Kentucky picked up its first win of the season last week against New Mexico St. and while the start was not very good, the finish was. The game was tied at 35 at halftime but Kentucky used a 27-7 run in the second half to pull away. The defense was a disappointment although the Aggies offense is not all that bad but it was the Wildcats offense that put on a show, totaling 692 yards of offense. The challenge will be more difficult this week against a much better South Carolina defense but on the other side, the Kentucky defense will not be challenged much here. The Gamecocks have scored just 47 points in their three games where they are 2-1 overall. They got a very fortunate win against Vanderbilt on opening night thanks to a 55-yard field goal with just 35 second left then got trounced by Mississippi St. the following week, getting outgained by 242 yards. Last week, they defeated East Carolina at home but had no business in doing so. South Carolina was outgained by 207 yards but was fortunate that the Pirates committed four turnovers, three of which took place inside the South Carolina 10-yard line. Because of that misleading final, we are getting a smaller than anticipated line. The Gamecocks used to dominate this series but Kentucky has won the last two meetings showing just how far the South Carolina program has fallen. The Wildcats will be without starting quarterback Drew Barker because of a back injury but that is not necessarily a bad thing as Stephen Johnson came in and had a strong showing, completing 77 percent of his passes for 310 yards and three touchdowns while also rushing 10 times for 51 yards. Play (382) Kentucky Wildcats

    Fargo has been DOMINATING college football for years and intends on doing more of the same in 2016! Looking for an ABSOLUTELY COMMANDING weekend, he has brought home an INSANE $25,601 in NCAA Profits since 2013! He has SEVEN Winners for Saturday starting at 1:00 PM ET and all can be yours right here! Go for a PERFECT 7-0 SWEEP! The Winning continues with this pack! Guaranteed!

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
    Bowling Green vs Memphis
    Bowling Green
    +16½ -106 at pinnacle
    Lost
    $106.0
    Play Type: Top Premium

    We played on Bowling Green last Saturday and got a bit unlucky as the game ended up being played in a monsoon and turnover were the difference as the Falcons committed four in total which led to 21 Middle Tennessee points. Bowling Green was outgained by only three yards and had a 24-20 first down advantage. This is another one of those games which proves looking at just the score does no good and can be very misleading. The Falcons are expected to contend in the MAC East and while conference action starts next week, it comes against lowly Eastern Michigan so there is no chance of a lookahead. The same cannot be said for Memphis which travels to Mississippi to face the hated Rebels in the Mid-South Rivalry. The Tigers are 2-0 as they have already had their bye week but it can be argued that they have had three bye weeks as the first two games have come against SE. Missouri St. and Kansas. Last week, they outgained Kansas by just 80 yards as they were able to win the turnover battle 6-0 as the Jayhawks turned it over four times in Memphis territory. Memphis is still an unknown but is expected to take a drop back after losing quarterback Paxton Lynch and head coach Justin Fuente to Virginia Tech. Bowling Green is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games after three or more consecutive losses against the spread while Memphis is 5-21 ATS in its last 26 games after scoring 42 points or more last game. 10* (385) Bowling Green Falcons

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
    Georgia Southern vs Western Michigan
    Georgia Southern
    +7 -107 at pinnacle
    Lost
    $107.0
    Play Type: Top Premium

    A pair of undefeated teams square off in Kalamazoo and we will be grabbing the generous number here. Georgia Southern is coming off a poor effort last week at home against UL-Monroe as it won but by just two points as it had to rally from a 14-0 first quarter deficit. Still, the rushing game was once again dominant and on the season, the Eagles are averaging 356.3 ypg on the ground which is close to what it averaged last season when it went 9-4 and won its first ever bowl game and that was also against a team from the MAC. Western Michigan is 3-0 following a big road win at Illinois last week, its second win over a Big Ten team this season which is pretty impressive for sure. But they have come against two of the worst teams in the conference so we are not overly impressed. While the Broncos will be out for some payback from the loss in Statesboro last season, this is not the ideal situation. Still celebrating the win from last week and heading on the road next week to face rival Central Michigan puts Western Michigan in a very tough sandwich spot. Additionally, we play against home favorites after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game going up against an opponent after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game. This situation is 35-8 ATS (81.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (341) Georgia Southern Eagles

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
    North Texas vs Rice
    Rice
    -7½ -102 at pinnacle
    Lost
    $102.0
    Play Type: Top Premium

    It has been a tough start to the season for Rice as it has dropped its first three games but those came against teams that are a combined 8-1. The Owls were able to stay within the number last week against Baylor and they should have no issues this week in getting their first victory. There is definitely value in this line as they went to North Texas last season and won by two touchdowns and were favored by the same amount that they are favored by at home this year. North Texas is 1-2 with the lone victory coming against Bethune Cookman of the FCS. The Mean Green were shutout at Florida last week while gaining just 53 yards of offense and while we are not making a comparison between the Gators and Owls, it shows what little talent North Texas has. It went 1-11 last season and is still in rebuilding mode as witnessed by a 13-point home opening loss against a pretty poor SMU team. This is the first time Rice has been favored this season and it is a role they have had great success in as the Owls are 10-2 in its last 12 games when laying points. Meanwhile, North Texas has lost 14 consecutive road games, covering just three of those in the process. This includes a 0-4 ATS mark when getting single digits, losing those games by an average of 19.5 ppg. This is a must win game for the Owls which travel to Southern Mississippi next week. 10* (338) Rice Owls

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
    Florida vs Tennessee
    Florida
    +6½ -105 at BMaker
    Lost
    $105.0
    Play Type: Top Premium

    This is a play on FLORIDA for our Saturday Star Attraction. We were high on Tennessee coming into the season and we played on the Volunteers in their first game but did not come close to covering as they needed overtime to defeat Appalachian St. they then defeated Virginia Tech by 21 points but the Hokies lost five fumbles and actually won the yardage battle by 70 yards. Last week, it was another average outing as they beat Ohio by just nine points so clearly there is something not right with this team so laying anything close to a touchdown against a quality opponent is overaggressive. The talent is there for this team to make a serious run but the same can be said on the other side. Florida is also 3-0 and while it has not played a tough slate, the Gators have absolutely dominated as they lead the country in total defense and scoring defense. It is no fluke as the stop unit was expected to be the strength of the team. On the other side, we are aware that quarterback Luke Del Rio is out but Austin Appleby is not a dropoff at all. He is a graduate transfer from Purdue where he started for two seasons and while there was no success, it is Purdue we are talking about. He comes in with a ton of confidence to lead this offense. Obviously, revenge comes into play here as Tennessee has lost the last 11 meetings in this series but winning and covering are two different things. This is a toss-up that can go either way so we will grab the generous points. 10* (383) Florida Gators

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
    Louisville vs Marshall
    Marshall
    +27 -110 at BMaker
    Lost
    $110.0
    Play Type: Top Premium

    This is a play on MARSHALL for our Saturday Enforcer. Louisville is coming off one of the greatest wins in program history as it absolutely annihilated then No. 2 ranked Florida St. by a score of 63-20. It was the third straight game to open the season that the Cardinals have scored at least 62 points but if there ever was a spot to go against a juggernaut like them, this is it. There will surely be a letdown following that victory but adding to the possibility of a sleepwalk is the fact Louisville travels to Clemson next week for another massive game. Clearly this is a public team now and the linesmakers have needed to make adjustments and it is much too big of one in this case. Adding to the size of the number is the fact that Marshall is coming off a 65-38 loss to Akron at home. This could be the most deceiving final score of last weekend however as the Thundering Herd won the yardage battle by 36 yards but in the second quarter Akron had a fumble return for a touchdown, a blocked punt return for a touchdown and an interception in the redzone that led to another touchdown. Additionally, they had an interception return for a touchdown to close out the game. Marshall was -3 in turnover margin and not many teams can win by doing that. A repeat of that here spells disaster but the thinking is that the Thundering Herd right the ship. Remember, this is a team that is going to contend for the C-USA Championship. 10* (352) Marshall Thundering Herd

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
    Syracuse vs Connecticut
    Syracuse
    +4½ -110 at 5Dimes
    Won
    $100
    Play Type: Top Premium

    This is a play on SYRACUSE for our Afternoon Dominator. It has been a rough start for Syracuse but the schedule has had a lot to do with that. The Orange got crushed by Louisville two weeks ago and last week they were beaten badly at home once again by USF. Despite the loss by 25 points, Syracuse played much better than that score shows as it outgained the Bulls by 95 yards, controlled more than 16 minutes of the clock and had 10 more first downs. The Orange struggled on third and fourth down and lost the turnover battle 3-0 while USF completed four scoring drives in less than two minutes apiece and scored another touchdown on a punt return. Connecticut had the exact opposite type of game as it defeated Virginia 13-10 last week despite being outgained 381-277. A Cavaliers interception late in the fourth quarter set Connecticut up for the game-winning field goal and Virginia actually had a chance to tie the game but missed a 20-yard field goal as time expired. Those results have inflated this line and any chalk for the Huskies is not good as they are 0-13-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite and under head coach Bob Diaco, they are 0-7 ATS against teams allowing 3 or more ppg. Additionally, we play on road teams where the line is that are averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams averaging between 330 to 390 ypg. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (321) Syracuse Orange

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2016
    California vs Arizona State
    Arizona State
    -3½ -110 at pinnacle
    Won
    $100
    Play Type: Top Premium

    This is a play on ARIZONA ST. for our Pac 12 Game of the Year. Arizona St. spotted UTSA a 28-15 lead last Friday night before scoring 17 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to pull out the victory. It was a misleading final score however as the Sun Devils outgained the Roadrunners by 147 total yards but lost the turnover battle 3-0 which made the game closer than it probably should have been. Nonetheless, they are 3-0 heading into conference action and continue to fly under the radar and that suits them just fine. California is off to a 2-1 start following an upset win at home last Saturday against Texas. This is another misleading final however as the Bears were outgained by 61 total yards but benefitted from two Texas turnovers that led to 14 points. Their defense was horrid once again as they allowed 568 total yards including 307 yards on the ground. Overall, California is ranked No. 118 in total defense and No. 126 in rushing defense and will face a Sun Devils offense that is No. 18 and No. 16 respectively in those categories offensively. There is revenge involved here as well as Arizona St. lost in the final seconds in Berkley which gave them a losing Pac 12 record for the first time since 2011. Arizona St. is 20-4 in its last 24 home games with three of those losses coming against ranked teams and the other coming in triple overtime. 10* (402) Arizona St. Sun Devils

    PICKS IN PROGRESS
    Matchup Selection W/L
    WNBA  |  Sep 25, 2016
    Atlanta Dream vs Chicago Sky
    Chicago Sky
    -2½ -104 at pinnacle
    Play Type: Top Premium

    The home floor did no good yesterday for New York although it did play good enough to win but Phoenix was an incredible 24-24 from the free throw line. The home floor should make a difference today however as Chicago hosts Atlanta in the final single elimination game of the playoffs. The Sky closed the regular season with a loss at Seattle but played very well over the second half of the season after a very slow start. Chicago went just 8-12 in its first 20 games but went 10-4 after that which includes a five-game home winning streak. Atlanta survived Seattle on Wednesday as it was able to pull away in the fourth quarter after the game was tied at 66 after three periods. The Dream went on a 24-6 run sparked by Angel McCoughtry who finished with 37 points. Elena Delle Donne has been ruled out in this game but Chicago did go 3-2 in her absence with both losses coming on the road. As mentioned, the home floor should come into play today as Chicago is 11-6 at while Atlanta is the exact opposite with a 6-11 record on the road. This includes a 2-10 record on the highway over its last 12 following a solid 4-1 start. The spread records are in line as well as the Dream are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games while the Dream are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. 10* (608) Chicago Sky

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NFL  |  Sep 25, 2016
    Bears vs Cowboys
    Bears
    +8 -125 at 5Dimes
    Play Type: Top Premium

    This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Star Attraction. Chicago has gotten off to a rough start by going 0-2 but it has not been as bad as that record shows. The Bears hung tough with the Texans in Week One before losing by nine points and last week they were did in by the Eagles and had no chance after Jay Cutler went down. Brian Hoyer will be starting this week and while he was unable to mount a comeback last week, having a full week of preparation instead of getting thrown into the fire is big. The Cowboys have split their two games with the Giants and Redskins and easily could also be sitting at 0-2. While the Dallas defense has allowed just 21.5 ppg, the unit has not been very good as they have allowed 374 ypg. Dak Prescott has played pretty well for a rookie but he has an 83.1 passer rating and while he has yet to throw a pick, he has yet to throw a touchdown either. Because of the Cutler injury, this line is way overpriced as these teams are not that far off from each other. Dallas has notoriously been a poor play as a home favorite as it has covered just of its last 25 games in this role. Going back to 2014, Chicago is 1-11 in its last 12 home games but a much more respectable 5-4 in its last nine road games. Additionally, the Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win. 10* (487) Chicago Bears

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NFL  |  Sep 25, 2016
    Rams vs Bucs
    Bucs
    -5 -114 at pinnacle
    Play Type: Top Premium

    This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. Tampa Bay played a great game in its season opening win over Atlanta and it was just the opposite last week at Arizona as the Buccaneers were throttled 40-7 no thanks to five turnovers including four interceptions from Jameis Winston. Expect a big bounce back effort from him and we will no doubt see a better effort from the defense that has allowed 32 ppg. This is the home opener for Tampa Bay and while its home field advantage is not a great one, it is more advantageous this time of year because of the heat and humidity. The Rams have been just the opposite through two games as well but theirs have been reversed. They were awful in their opener against a horrible San Francisco teams, losing 28-0 and getting outgained by 135 yards. Last week, Los Angeles upset the Seahawks at home but managed only nine points on offense in doing so. This offense has a long ways o go and while the defense looked very strong against the Seahawks, Seattle has its own offensive issues going on. The Rams were still outgained last week despite the win. This line has been creeping yup but for good reason and we will back the favorite in what could have blowout potential. Going back, the Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. 10* (480) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NFL  |  Sep 25, 2016
    Redskins vs Giants
    Redskins
    +5 -115 at BMaker
    Play Type: Top Premium

    This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. This is another example of records dictating the line. The Redskins have dropped their first two games and while they lost to Pittsburgh by 22 points, they were outgained by just 53 total yards but two turnovers in bad spots, nine penalties and having to settle for field goals did them in. Last week, they had a chance to beat the Cowboys but fell just short despite outgaining Dallas by 52 total yards. The rushing defense has been the issue but the Giants do not possess a strong running attack like the ones they have already faced. New York is 2-0 but it is an ugly 2-0 as it has won both games by a combined four points. The Giants did outgain New Orleans by 129 yards but were unable to complete drives against a bad Saints defense and their only touchdown came via a blocked field goal return. Now because of the opposing records, the Giants are overvalued as with this being a divisional game against pretty equal teams, the line should be -3 so catching anything above that presents solid value. The Giants defense is a very solid unit but the Redskins have the playmakers to take advantage. Washington can ill afford to fall three games out of first place in the NFC East after just three games so we will see an all-out effort on both sides of the ball. 10* (471) Washington Redskins

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NFL  |  Sep 25, 2016
    Ravens vs Jaguars
    Jaguars
    +1½ -102 at pinnacle
    Play Type: Top Premium

    This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. This is the classic look at the records matchup which had affected the line. Baltimore comes in undefeated and is the worst 2-0 team in the league at this point. The Ravens defeated a hapless Bills team by only six points and then beat Cleveland last week in part due to the injury of Browns quarterback Josh McCown who was not the same after having to get checked out. They were actually outgained by the Browns and overall, the defense is overrated based on who they have played while the offense can be held accountable for the same thing. Jacksonville meanwhile is 0-2 but has played better than that. The Jaguars are tied for last in the NFL in turnover margin at -3 which has been part of the issue but it has to be noted that they have outgained both opponents thus far albeit not by much but all that matter is they have been on the positive. So now because we have two teams with opposite records, the Ravens come in as a road favorite. It is interesting to note that last November, with a healthy Joe Flacco, Baltimore was favored by only five points at home and there is no way they are a much better team now. And Jacksonville won. This is a much bigger game for the Jaguars and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. 10* (468) Jacksonville Jaguars

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NFL  |  Sep 25, 2016
    Vikings vs Panthers
    Vikings
    +7 -105 at BMaker
    Play Type: Top Premium

    This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Game of the Month. This is a complete overreaction to what happened last week. After losing to Denver in their season opener, the Panthers rolled over San Francisco on Sunday. They outgained the 49ers by 227 total yards in what was an awful situation for San Francisco coming off a short week win and having to play an early game on the east coast against a well-rested team. That line closed at 12 and there is no chance that the 49ers are only five points worse than Minnesota. The Vikings meanwhile are 2-0 as they defeated Tennessee on the road before winning last Sunday night at home against Green Bay. Sam Bradford was exceptional in his first start but the bigger story was the loss of Adrian Peterson who is likely out for the season. While he is tough to replace, he is not the same player and has lost a step for sure. He averaged just 1.6 ypc in 31 carries so was doing nothing special anyway. The Norv Turner/Bradford offense is arguably better off now as they can open things up more which is better equipped for this team. The defense as they have allowed just 289.5 ypg and 15 ppg, No. 5 and No. 6 respectively in the NFL. The Panthers have covered seven straight games at home which is adding to the value but the Vikings have been better, going 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games while covering 14 of their last 17 games following a win. 10* (475) Minnesota Vikings

    SERVICE BIO

    Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's.

    Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you.

    Rating Scale

    Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays.

    Enforcer this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted.

    Supreme Annihilator this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line.

    Dark Horse Dandy this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright.

    Star Attraction this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities.

    Total Dominator while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports.

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    9/25/16 Top Sports Picks

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