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Matt Fargo Sports Picks

You will find all of Matt Fargo's sports betting picks right here every day! Both his free sports picks and guaranteed sports picks will be posted here.

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  • Matt Fargo Matt Fargo
    Matt WON again Saturday with an underdog split, winning with the +142 A's and he has another Underdog Double Play going on Sunday! The WON With the Celtics in the NBA Friday and has another WINNER going on Sunday!
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    YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
    Matchup Selection W/L
    MLB  |  Apr 29, 2017
    A's vs Astros
    A's
    +142 at 5Dimes
    Won
    $142
    Play Type: Top Premium

    Houston took the opener of this series last night to retain its three-game lead in the American League West while improving to 8-4 at home. The Astros are just 3-3 over their last six games however and while they have dominated this series with 10 straight wins, going contrarian here is the play with Oakland having a strong pitching advantage with a solid underdog price. Andrew Triggs has been a great addition to the starting rotation after being designated as a middle reliever coming into the season. He didn't allow a run through his first three starts but allowed six over 4.2 innings in his last outing against the Mariners. Overall, he has a 2.42 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in four starts and we can expect a bounceback effort on Saturday. Joe Musgrove counters for the Astros and he has gotten off to a rough start. He has yet to post a quality outing through four starts while putting up a 5.91 ERA and 1.45 WHIP which includes a 6.30 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in two home starts, both Astros losses. The up and down Oakland offense has a great opportunity to bust out here and put a halt to its five-game losing skid. 10* (975) Oakland A's

    Matchup Selection W/L
    MLB  |  Apr 29, 2017
    Orioles vs Yankees
    Orioles
    +160 at 5Dimes
    Lost
    $100.0
    Play Type: Top Premium

    The Yankees completed a huge comeback on Friday as they trailed 11-7 going into the bottom half of the seventh inning but eventually tied it up and won in 11 innings on a three-run walkoff home run from Matt Holiday. They have now won three straight games but are overvalued today. The Orioles fell into a first place tie in the American League East with the loss but are still a decent 6-4 on the road and they won their only game this season as an underdog of +125 or more and it happened to come with Ubaldo Jimenez on the hill. Jimenez struggled in his last start as he went only 3.1 innings as he was hurt by issuing five walks but he did allow only three hits against Tampa Bay. He has been solid on the road with a 3.75 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in two starts covering 12 innings. The Yankees turn to Michael Pineda who is off to a solid start with a 3.86 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in four starts but only two of those have been quality outings. He has been fortunate to get a ton of run support and in 12 career starts against Baltimore, he possesses a pedestrian 4.12 ERA. 10* (965) Baltimore Orioles

    PICKS IN PROGRESS
    Matchup Selection W/L
    NBA  |  Apr 30, 2017
    Wizards vs Celtics
    Wizards
    +4½ -102 at 5Dimes
    Lost
    $102.0
    Play Type: Top Premium

    The home team dominated the regular season series between Washington and Boston as the host was a perfect 4-0 straight up and against the number but we expect that to change in the opener of this Round Two series. The Celtics are overvalued and overpriced. Statistically, Boston was the worst No. 1 seed in the last 38 years and then they lost their first two playoff games at home but came back to win four straight games against the Bulls to advance. The Celtics caught a huge break however as the loss of Rajon Rondo affected the Bulls more than expected as the offense had no flow, managing just 90.5 ppg in his four-game absence. Boston will not be as fortunate here however. Washington let Atlanta hang around for longer than expected but it did the job it needed to and now hits the road again where it is a solid 15-10 over its last 25 games. The Wizards outscored the Hawks 124-66 on fast break points. Their average of 20.7 fast break points per game was the highest in the first round. 20 percent of their possessions were in transition (also the highest rate) and their 1.15 points per possession in transition were third best. That spells trouble for Boston. The backcourt of John Wall and Bradley Beal dominated with 29.5 and 25.8 ppg, respectively, and based on the overall numbers, Washington has one of the most dominant starting fives in these playoffs. The Wizards are 23-11-1 ATS in their last 35 games following an ATS win while the Celtics are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (735) Washington Wizards

    Matchup Selection W/L
    MLB  |  Apr 30, 2017
    Phillies vs Dodgers
    Phillies
    +183 at 5Dimes
    Lost
    $100.0
    Play Type: Top Premium

    The Phillies lost a heartbreaker last night in Los Angeles as they took a 5-2 lead into the ninth inning but closer Hector Neris gave up back-to-back-to-back home runs and was pulled after allowing another hit before Joely Rodriguez gave up a pair of hits to complete the meltdown. It was the second straight loss for Philadelphia following a six-game winning streak and we will back them here in a good bounce back spot. The Dodgers have won three straight games to claw back over .500 on the season for the first time since April 16. They continue to be overpriced because of expectations and not because of reality. Philadelphia gives the ball to Nick Pivetta who is making his Major League debut today. He registered a 3.27 ERA in 148.2 innings between Double A and Triple A last season, while striking out 138 and walking 51. His control continued to improve this season as he got off to a 3-0 start at Triple A. He pitched 19 innings, gave up just two earned runs, walked just two and struck out 24. Additionally, Pivetta pitched for Team Canada in the World Baseball Classic in March. He made one start and took a no-decision in the team's 4-1 loss to Columbia. The Dodgers go with Hyun-Jin Ryu who vis finally coming off a good start but still has nothing to show for it. He is 0-4 with a 4.64 ERA and 1.36 WHIP as he just does not look right. It does not help that the Dodgers have averaged just 1.25 rpg in his four starts. 10* (911) Philadelphia Phillies

    Matchup Selection W/L
    MLB  |  Apr 30, 2017
    Reds vs Cardinals
    Reds
    +155 at BMaker
    Won
    $155
    Play Type: Top Premium

    The Cardinals are a very popular pick today, owning the second highest public consensus on the baseball card but we will be going against this public play today. This game was rained out yesterday which is a big edge for the Reds as they have been atrocious on the mound, allowing 36 runs over their four-game losing streak with the bullpen logging nearly as many innings as the starters so an extra day of rest is huge. St. Louis is on a three-game winning streak and going back further, it is 9-2 over its last 11 games so it is playing excellent baseball right now. Stats wise, there is not a huge discrepancy between these two teams and the line is based on the starting pitching matchup. Bronson Arroyo has some pretty bad looking numbers but he has gotten better as each start has gone on and he is coming off his best start of the season, limiting the Cubs to two runs on three hits in six innings. His 1.24 overall WHIP shows he has been pitching better than his ERA indicates. The Cardinals turn to Mike Leake who has tossed four quality starts and he will be popular to throw another one today. He has not enjoyed success against his former team however as he has a 5.64 ERA in five starts with St. Louis going 0-5. The Reds are 6-3 this season as underdogs between +125 and +175 and while the Cardinals are 3-2 as favorites of -150 or more, underdog bettors know that despite that being 60 percent, they have lost money in the process. 10* (905) Cincinnati Reds

    SERVICE BIO

    Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's.

    Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you.

    Rating Scale

    Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays.

    Enforcer this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted.

    Supreme Annihilator this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line.

    Dark Horse Dandy this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright.

    Star Attraction this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities.

    Total Dominator while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports.

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    4/30/17 Top Sports Picks

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