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Matt Fargo Sports Picks

You will find all of Matt Fargo's sports betting picks right here every day! Both his free sports picks and guaranteed sports picks will be posted here.


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  • Matt Fargo Matt Fargo
    Fargo has been RED HOT in the NBA as short term, he is on a POTENT 60-35-2 run while long term, he is on a SOLID 89-56-4 streak! Additionally, he is on a TREMENDOUS +$36,354 NBA SURGE! TWO Winners Monday!
    Fargo's 10* NBA Monday Star Attraction (AWESOME 11-3 NBA Side Run)

    AWESOME 11-3-1 NBA side run! Matt has been RED HOT in the NBA as short term, he is on a POTENT 60-35-3 run while long term, he is on a SOLID 89-55-4 streak and continues the run today! He is a SWEET 120-85-5 L210 while coming off a great NBA season of +$6,308 in 2014-15 and going back, Matt is on a FANTASTIC +$36,454 NBA SURGE! Watch and Cash once again with Fargo! Guaranteed!

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    Matchup Selection W/L
    MLB  |  May 01, 2016
    Astros vs A's
    +144 at pinnacle
    Play Type: Top Premium

    We won with Houston on Wednesday and will come back with the Astros today as they are again riding another losing skid so the value has continued to go up. After winning just 51 games in 2013, the Astros improved that by 19 games in 2014 and by 35 games last season so the fact they are off to a miserable 7-17 start is very surprising. Oakland had lost five of six games prior to this series but have taken the first two games but has been fortunate to having to face any big guns and while Doug Fister may not be considered a big gun, he has the potential. He is off to a slow start but the troubles came in his first two outings and since then, he has tossed back-to-back quality games, both of which also came on the road. He is now getting his highest underdog moneyline because of the overall team results. Rich Hill counters for Oakland and he has been very solid in his first season with the team after coming over from Boston. I am still not sold on him as he made just four starts in Boston last season after an Independent League stint and he has made only nine starts since 209. The Astros are hitting .272 against lefties and Hill is the perfect guy for Houston to get the sluggish recent offense going once again. 10* (923) Houston Astros

    Matchup Selection W/L
    MLB  |  May 01, 2016
    Braves vs Cubs
    +200 at Bovada
    Play Type: Top Premium

    We are taking a shot with the Braves this afternoon as there is a ton of value in this line. Atlanta dropped the series opener on Friday 6-1 as it was shut down by a solid performance from Jon Lester. The Braves have been a 2-1 underdog four times this season and taking a look at the opposing pitchers in those games tells the reason why. The Cubs are on a four-game winning streak and already look well on their way to winning the National League Central but with good records comes overinflated lines which we are seeing here. John Lackey came over from St. Louis and he has been inconsistent. He tossed a gem against his former team but he has allowed six runs in two of his other three starts so a starter with a 4.97 ERA should not be favored this big. Another reason is that Julio Teheran has gotten off to a slow start as he is 0-3 while the Braves are 0-5 in his five starts. However, he only had one bad start at Washington while two of those five games have been quality outings with a third missing by just two-thirds of an inning. He has never lost to the Cubs in five start and has posted a 3.82 ERA and 1.08 WHIP along the way with Atlanta winning all five of those games. 10* (909) Atlanta Braves

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NBA  |  May 01, 2016
    Pacers vs Raptors
    -5½ -105 at pinnacle
    Play Type: Top Premium

    Indiana has covered three straight in this series, winning two outright, including a victory on Friday that sends this series to the Game Seven finale tonight. Because the Pacers have covered three in a row, we are getting value with the Raptors as this is the lowest line of the series at home and is down a full bucket from the last game here. Despite the series being knotted at three games apiece, this has been a horrible series to watch as five of the six games have been decided by double-digits and that one game that finished close should have been a double-digit blowout by Indiana but Toronto made a miraculous fourth quarter comeback. While the Raptors fell apart in the second half on Friday, they can use that big comeback at home as motivation for this one and we cannot forget they are 34-10 at home this season while the Pacers are four games under .500 on the road while of the Pacers 20 road wins the entire season, only five have come against teams that are competing in the postseason. The Pacers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points while the Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. 10* (726) Toronto Raptors

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NBA  |  May 01, 2016
    Hornets vs Heat
    OVER 190 -103 Lost
    Play Type: Top Premium

    We are going with some of the same reasoning and analysis for Sunday as after putting up 109 points in the first half Friday, Miami and Charlotte managed just 78 points in the second half. After putting up 123 and 115 points in the first two games in this series, the Miami offense disappeared for three straight games, scoring just 80, 85 and 88 points. To no surprise, the over came through in the first two games in Miami and the under cashed both times in the games in Charlotte. A return to Miami should see more offense again despite Game Five staying under and the total has been steadily on the decline the entire series going from 199 to 190 which is at its lowest point and that presents great value. Going back to the regular season, four of five games taking place in Miami surpassed the total while all five games being played in Charlotte stayed under the number. Going back, the over is 8-2 in the Hornets last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record while the over is now 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Miami. 10* Over (727) Charlotte Hornets/(728) Miami Heat

    Matchup Selection W/L
    MLB  |  May 02, 2016
    Rangers vs Blue Jays
    +130 at 5Dimes
    Play Type: Top Premium

    Texas should have a little extra juice for this game as they will be out for a little bit of payback from last season after losing in the American League Divisional Series after winning the first two games. And of course, there was the infamous bat flip from Jose Bautista. Texas had a four-game winning streak snapped with a loss to the Angels yesterday while Toronto is coming off a series win over Tampa Bay. It has been a disappointing start for the Blue Jays and it has been the offense that has been the issue which is a huge surprise after last year. A.J. Griffin had two solid seasons in Oakland before injuries kept him out of the Majors for two seasons. He is back with the Rangers and has pitched excellent over four starts, posting a 2.52 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. With three of those resulting in quality outings. He won a job in the rotation thanks to a solid spring where he posted a 1.22 WHIP and 19:2 K:BB ratio. Toronto counters with R.A. Dickey who has been all over the place and has mostly been bad more so than good. Overall, he has a 6.75 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP over five starts and he clearly needs the offense to bail him out, which has not happened as he is getting just 3.2 rpg of support. 10* (961) Texas Rangers

    Matchup Selection W/L
    NBA  |  May 02, 2016
    Hawks vs Cavs
    +7½ -105 at Bovada
    Play Type: Top Premium

    Atlanta has not had much luck with Cleveland of late as after taking three of four regular season meetings last year, the Hawks were swept by the Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference Finals and then lost all three regular season meetings this year. That is driving this line up higher than it should be and they now go from a three-point road favorite in their last game against Boston to a 7.5-point road underdog the very next game. They took out Boston in six games and while they come into this game with less rest than Cleveland, they have been off since Thursday so that is certainly sufficient. The Cavaliers made it look easy against Detroit as they swept the Pistons which was a surprise to some after they held their own against Cleveland during the regular season. They covered one of two at home in that series and this is not a number the Cavaliers have had success with this season as they are 19-28 ATS when favored by seven or more points. On the flip side, the Hawks have lost all four games this season when getting points in this range but they make up for it by going 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* (503) Atlanta Hawks


    Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's.

    Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you.

    Rating Scale

    Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays.

    Enforcer this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted.

    Supreme Annihilator this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line.

    Dark Horse Dandy this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright.

    Star Attraction this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities.

    Total Dominator while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports.


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