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Matt Fargo |
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+$25,760 MLB run. It was a 1-2 Saturday in MLB with the winner on the +118 Orioles and we continue our red hot run Sunday. THREE MLB Winners on Sunday with a Divisional Game of the Month and an Underdog Double Play! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jul 05, 2025 Yankees vs Mets |
Mets +124 at Buckeye |
Won $124 |
Play Type: Free | ||
This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our Saturday Free Play. The Yankees dropped the opener of this series 6-5 on Friday as Luke Weaver gave up a two-run shot to Jeff McNeil in the seventh inning. New York has nor dropped five straight games to fall two games behind Toronto in the American League East as the pitching has been horrible during this stretch, allowing 8.4 rpg and while they send their best starter to the hill, it is not a good matchup with the Mets bats starting to finally show some life. Carlos Rodon is having a solid season with a 2.95 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over 18 starts with very similar home and road splits. He comes in as an overpriced favorite on the road where the Yankees have dropped three straight and four of his last five. The Mets have won three straight after losing 13 of their previous 16 games and they turn to Frankie Montas who is making just his third start. His first outing was solid as he allowed no runs over five innings against the Braves and was lit up in his last start against the Pirates but that one was on the road and we love the rebound possibility back home. Play (916) New York Mets +$26,580 MLB run. 14-6 MLB Underdog Run. It was a PERFECT 2-0 Underdog SWEEP in MLB with the winners on the +160 Orioles and +159 Astros and we roll it into Saturday. THREE MLB Winners for Saturday as we go for the PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP! |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jul 05, 2025 Orioles vs Braves |
Orioles +120 at Ace |
Won $120 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. We will continue to fade Atlanta as the markets refuse to catch up. The Friday loss dropped the Braves to nine games under .500 and their -2,138 money is ahead of only Colorado and Saturday, they will be going with an opener. Aaron Bummer has appeared in 28 games this season and has a 2.86 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. This will mark his first career major league start and he will be out there for no more than two innings while no bulk reliever has been announced so this looks to be a true bullpen game. The Orioles improved to 2-2 on this roadtrip and fading them this season has been a lucrative option but they are getting the value again. Dean Kreamer is coming off one of his best starts this season as he allowed three hits in seven scoreless innings against the Rays on Sunday. He has a 4.27 ERA this season with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings and while he has had his share of road struggles, this is an offense that cannot take advantage. Kreamer looks to make it 15 straight starts of going five or more innings. 10* (917) Baltimore Orioles |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jul 05, 2025 Tigers vs Guardians |
Guardians +115 at PlayMGM |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. Things cannot get any worse for Cleveland right now as it has lost eight straight games following a 2-1 loss on Friday to open this series. The Guardians offense has been nonexistent during this stretch as they have averaged 1.6 rpg over the eight games while getting shutout four times. The offense has been an issue all season but this is by far the worst rut they have been in yet have a better than expected matchup tonight. Logan Allen has allowed three runs or less in four straight starts and while his home and road splits are very similar, he has much better command at home and his ERA comes down to 3.67 in six starts when removing one bad outing against the Red Sox where he allowed seven runs. Detroit continues to possess the best record in the American League at 55-34 with most of the damage being done at home where they are 16 games over .500 compared to five games over .500 on the road. Casey Mize has been excellent but his 2.00 ERA at home jumps to 3.59 on the road. 10* (912) Cleveland Guardians |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jul 05, 2025 Reds vs Phillies |
Reds +157 at Ace |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. Cincinnati took the series opener on Friday in a 9-6 win and the Reds have now won two straight games to move to four games over .500 and they are just one game out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. They have been relevant on the road, sitting just one game under .500 and catching a significant number today. Nick Lodolo has had two poor starts this season where he allowed six runs against the Guardians and Nationals and his season ERA of 3.52 drops to 2.62 in his other 15 starts. He is a rare pitcher with reverse splits as he has a 4.69 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in nine home starts but a 2.31 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in eight road outings. Since an 8-1 run in mid-June, the Phillies are 5-7 over their last 12 games and their lead in the National League East is down to just a half-game over the Mets. They go with one of the big three in Game Two as Ranger Suarez brings in a 2.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 11 starts and this is after allowing seven runs in his opener so we go contrarian here based on his recent run. 10* (903) Cincinnati Reds |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
CFL | Jul 06, 2025 Ottawa vs Edmonton Elks |
Edmonton Elks +2 -115 at circa |
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Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the EDMONTON ELKS for our CFL Sunday Enforcer. Edmonton has been one of the worst franchises in the CFL over the last few years but the Elks closed last season on a 7-4 run and things were expected to turn around this season but so far, not so good. They are 0-3 with all three losses by double digits so they have failed to cover any of those games. They are back home following a loss at Winnipeg and they have a huge rest edge. While Edmonton is not off a bye week, it has not played since June 26th which is essentially a mini bye and now facing a team that has to not only travel out west but also has three fewer days of preparation. Ottawa is not off to a much better start as it is 1-3 both straight up and against the number and as mentioned, this is not an easy scheduling spot. The Redblacks did win their one game on the road at Calgary and are 1-1 on the highway and were underdogs in both so now they go to the role of overpriced favorite, no matter the opponent. Ottawa will get quarterback Dru Brown back for this one which is a good sign for the passing offense but this is the game for the Elks they need to save their season despite it being as early as it is. 10* (716) Edmonton Elks |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jul 06, 2025 Royals vs Diamondbacks |
Royals +138 at Ace |
Won $138 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. The Royals are looking to rebound from a 7-1 loss on Saturday and close their roadtrip with a 4-3 record. After going 45-36 at home last season, they are just 20-24 this season and bring in a better road record where they are 22-24 and catching value in this matchup. Michael Lorenzen is having a disappointing season after helping the Royals down the stretch after coming over from Texas last season as he posted a 1.57 ERA but that ERA this year is 4.95 although he is pitching to a 4.24 xERA and 4.39 xFIP, certainly not great but more favorable. The Diamondbacks are one game under .500 and are on a 3-7 slide. Anthony DeSclafani will start for the Diamondbacks which is his first start in almost two years. He has made four appearances as a long reliever since signing June 15, but has yet to throw more than three innings. He has a 4.82 ERA in four relief appearances over 9.1 innings while allowing three home runs. He will not be stretched far which is not ideal for an Arizona bullpen that has the third worst ERA in the league. 10* (973) Kansas City Royals |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jul 06, 2025 Red Sox vs Nationals |
Nationals +229 at circa |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. The Red Sox have rolled the first two games of this series and will be very popular today to complete the sweep. Boston is back to .500 as it has won four of five following a 1-7 run and it comes in still five games under .500 on the road and is laying a huge number based on the pitching matchup which we are fading. Garrett Crochet has been an awesome addition to the rotation as he comes in with a 2.34 ERA and 1.04 WHIP and he has actually been better on the road than at home but this is a tricky spot coming off two blowout wins and facing a Washington team that is No. 12 in baseball in average against lefties. The Nationals had won four of six prior to this series which included a series win over the Tigers and they send Shinnosuke Ogasawara to the hill for his Major League debut. He posted a 4.80 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 12:4 K:BB in 15 innings across three starts at Triple-A and is coming off a solid rehab start after coming off the minor league IL. Having never seen him, the Red Sox should slow down from their offensive run. 10* (966) Washington Nationals |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jul 06, 2025 Tigers vs Guardians |
Guardians +200 at Ace |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS for our Divisional Game of the Month. Detroit came away with a 1-0 win on Saturday and the sweep seems inevitable with its ace on the hill but this is the ultimate contrarian opportunity. Saying Tarik Skubal is overvalued may sound like a ludicrous statement but in some spots that is the case. He is clearly the best pitcher in baseball as his numbers back that up but these are the situations we have to look against that, namely on the road. This is his first road start since June 12th so we have not had the opportunity as playing against him at home is wasted money. He has 90 strikeouts over 65.2 home innings but just 48 over 43.1 innings on the road and in seven road outings, the Tigers are 4-3 compared to 9-1 in 10 home starts. Cleveland has now lost nine straight games, getting shut out five times but at this number and situation, they are the take. Gavin Williams is coming off an iffy start against the Cubs but that was on the road and he has been much better at home with a 3.72 ERA and Detroit is not exactly mashing the ball on a consistent basis right now. 10* (960) Cleveland Guardians |
SERVICE BIO |
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Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's. Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you. Rating Scale Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays. Enforcer this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted. Supreme Annihilator this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line. Dark Horse Dandy this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright. Star Attraction this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities. Total Dominator while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports. |
