*Free Play Over* The UCSB Gauchos don't have the level of defense they have had in recent years. They still have shooters spreading out the floor though. Cal State Northridge is very committed to pushing the pace, and I think they can get into the paint and score a lot of points here. An up and down type game where it stays close throughout. Take the over.

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*3 Star Play Under* The UT Arlington Mavericks were 88th in average possession length last year. They are 310th this season. This UT Arlington team is winning with defense and they are slowing the game down. Their biggest weakness is putting the opposition on the line too much, but Southern Utah is one of the worst in the nation at getting to the charity stripe.

Southern Utah is 16th at defending without fouling which is important because UT Arlington relies on getting to the line a lot to score.

There are two really bad offenses here, and UT Arlington's defense is very good.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Under* There is some risk associated with taking an under between these two teams. They play very quickly and there will be a lot of possessions in this game. I'm still going to take the under at this high of a number.

North Carolina is 2nd in the nation in effective field goal percentage defense. They are 5th in shot selection allowed. The Tar Heels have length all over the floor, and they have been making opponents shots very tough.

SMU is 35th best in shot selection allowed.

This one is 6 points above my projected number here.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Under* SIU Edwardsville has played in three straight OVC games that were 127 points or lower in regulation. This is a team that is far better on defense than offense. They are 323rd in offensive efficiency for the year.

Morehead State is 316th in offensive efficiency. They take a lot of mid range jumpers that are low quality shots.

Both teams play at a slow pace. Take the under.

*3 Star Play Over* Tennessee State is pushing the pace to the extreme. They have sped up of late. The Tigers appear to be the fastest or second fastest paced team in the OVC. They are fouling at a high rate too. Their full court pressure is turning teams over at a very high rate and Little Rock gives up a lot of steals and quick scores.

Little Rock's big men Gatkek is healthy again and he should do work here against Tenn State's interior defense which just isn't very good at all.

Take the over.

*4 Star Play Under* Louisiana is one of the best under teams in the country. They are 364th out of 365 teams nationally in overall tempo. They are 353rd in offensive efficiency. They have consistently played very low scoring games.

Southern Miss has taken on three very fast paced teams in their last three games and that is inflating the total a bit.

The first meeting between these two was 116 points and that was with Southern Miss shooting 39 free throws.

Take the under.