Free Play Under- North Alabama and Loyola Marymount both try to slow the game down, so I would expect this to be a game played in the half court. Neither team fouls very much either. I was going to sit this one out, but the large line move upward makes me take a bit of a wager on the under. My numbers had this one at 135, so I think there is enough value here. Take the under.

(24-5 last 29 CFB totals plays. Alabama/Oklahoma Total up for tonight)

*3 Star Play Under* The Oklahoma Sooners have a top three defense in the country. Oklahoma is 2nd in success rate allowed. They are 1st in rushing success rate allowed. Oklahoma is also third in havoc created, while Alabama is 27th in havoc rate allowed. The Alabama offensive line has played very poorly in recent weeks.

Ty Simpson is a good quarterback. He hasn't been getting much help from the wide receivers. It also seems Simpson is less than 100% healthy. Williams at WR is definitely banged up too. Alabama's offense has been out of sorts for quite a while now. They scored only 20 at home against LSU. They had just 280 yards of offense against Auburn. They could muster only 7 points against Georgia.

The Oklahoma offense has been a mess as well. Oklahoma had just 212 total yards in the first meeting against Alabama. They were aided by Alabama turnovers in their scoring 23 points. Oklahoma put up only 17 points against Missouri and 17 points against LSU in their last game. John Mateer hasn't been the same since his injury and surgery. The Sooners are 106th in rushing success rate, and that has been the lone way to beat the Alabama defense during this season.

The weather here is interesting as well. A blend of three forecasts calls for sustained winds of 20 mph with gusts in the 30-35 mph range. That should change the game a bit.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Over* The Utah Utes have been great on offense at home. They are averaging 87 points per game at home. Utah is up against an Eastern Washington team that is 347th in effective field goal percentage defense. Eastern Washington is 103rd in tempo nationally. They are 112th in effective field goal percentage on offense.

Both teams should get quite a few open looks here.

Take the over.

*3 Star Play Under* The Ohio State Buckeyes and North Carolina Tar Heels meet at State Farm Arena in Georgia for a fun non-conference neutral site contest before both start into league play soon.

Ohio State has feasted on a lot of weaker defenses so far this season. The Buckeyes have a great leader in Bruce Thornton, but their secondary scoring options are not consistent.

North Carolina is 5th nationally in effective field goal percentage defense. The Tar Heels are the tallest team in the country, and I think their length will bother the Buckeyes offense.

No one has scored more than 74 points on North Carolina all season. The implied team total for Ohio State here is about 75.5.

The under is 17-10 at this venue.

Take the under here.

*3 Star Play Over* The Denver Pioneers are dead last in defensive efficiency nationally (365th). Denver has allowed 84 points or more in nine of their ten games against Division One opponents. They have allowed 93 points or more in three of their last four against Division One teams.

Northern Colorado is always strong on offense under Coach Smiley. They are 29th in effective field goal percentage this year. Northern Colorado takes a lot of shots from long range. Denver is last in the country in 3 point field goal percentage defense.

Denver's offense is pretty good. The Pioneers should be fairly efficient against a mediocre Northern Colorado defense.

Take the over.

*3 Star Play Under* The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns are 360th in average possession length nationally. They are also 358th out of 365 teams in the country in offensive efficiency. They take low quality shots. They turn the ball over a lot. They don't get to the free throw line much at all. They are 284th in offensive rebounding percentage too. Defensively, they are decent. They are 156th in effective field goal percentage defense nationally.

ULM hasn't played many slow paced teams this year. The Warhawks are 342nd in offensive rebounding percentage. They are taking a bunch of three pointers, but Louisiana has been good defending those this season. ULM doesn't foul much at all.

A slow pace here. Seven straight games for Louisiana have finished under this total.

Take the under.