*3 Star Play Under* Fordham has been great on defense this year. They are allowing just 58.6 points per game at home. Fordham has seen 9 of their 11 games against Division One teams this year go under this posted total. The Rams are 6th in the nation at defending without fouling. They are also 19th in defensive rebounding percentage. They are a weak 257th in offensive efficiency. Fordham also is 345th out of 365 in tempo, so they are moving very slowly.

Richmond just had an epic shootout against George Washington in their last game. The game was just 66 possessions, but both teams shot lights out. It should be difficult for them to shoot as well in this one. The Spiders are just an average paced team. Richmond has faced a very easy slate of defenses this year.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Over* The Denver Pioneers have had an average of 174.3 points per game scored in their last six games. None of them have finished lower than 161 points. Denver's defense is about as bad as anyone in the country. They are awful at defending the 3 point shot, and St. Thomas has multiple very good outside shooters. Denver takes good care of the basketball on offense though, and they are Carson Johnson and Zane Nelson. This team can put up a bunch of points in a hurry.

St. Thomas is coached by Johnny Tauer who is an offensive wizard. This Tommies team is top 35 in effective field goal percentage offense for the third straight season. They should torch this Denver defense.

Both offenses should pile up the points.

Take the over.

*3 Star Play Under* The Northern Iowa Panthers are a really good defensive team, and they slow the pace down to a crawl. Northern Iowa is 8th in the country in effective field goal percentage defense. They are 57th at defending without fouling. They are second nationally in 3 point field goal percentage defense. Northern Iowa is also 363rd out of 365 teams in the country in overall tempo.

Evansville is far below average in their possession length on offense, so they prefer to play slowly. The Purple Aces are 328th in overall offensive efficiency.

Northern Iowa is the better team and I like their defense to control things here.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Over* The Cleveland Browns defense has been excellent at home, and they have been subpar on the road. Cleveland is giving up more than 27 points per game on the road.

Cincinnati's defense is allowing 6.5 yards per play at home this year. They are giving up more than 30 points per game on their home turf.

The Bengals offense is humming right now with a healthy Joe Burrow and an offensive line that is playing better. Burrow has been excellent the last two weeks, and I think he'll play very well again here.

The Browns offense isn't very good, but the Bengals defense has made a lot of bad offenses look pretty good this year. I think Sanders and company can do enough, and I am trusting the Bengals to score quite a few here.

The weather forecast calls for nearly no wind in this one which is a big plus.

Take the over.