*3 Star CFB Sharp Money 100% Angle Side * The Oklahoma State Cowboys are the public side here. The Texas Longhorns are the side the sharps are on. I won't pretend the public is always wrong and the sharps are always right. That certainly isn't the case. Still, I'd prefer to be on the sharp side.

Tom Herman is a whopping 12-0 ATS in his last 12 games as an underdog if you count his time at Ohio State as an offensive coordinator. He is 6-0 ATS as an underdog as a head coach. The guy excels as an underdog and makes his team believe they can win against teams with equal or better talent.

Oklahoma State has a great offense, but I still question their defense. I like Texas' offense a good amount, and I think Ehlinger is turning into a tremendous playmaker for them. He isn't listed on the injury report, and all the beat writers I've read expect him to start at quarterback here.

I think Texas at home makes things difficult on Oklahoma State. I expect a close game all the way.

Take Texas.

*3 Star CFB National TV KNOCKOUT* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have run the football very well this year. The offensive line has been dominating, and they have played some solid defensive fronts. Notre Dame is averaging a whopping 6.90 yards per carry. That's good for third best in the nation.

USC doesn't have the defensive depth they usually do. The Trojans rank 65th in yards per carry allowed at 4.12 per carry allowed. USC has a couple stars, but they don't have the consistency at the linebacker position or on the defensive line we expect from them.

Sam Darnold hasn't been very good so far this year. I think the primary reason for that is the offensive line. Darnold hasn't been comfortable.

Notre Dame has the advantage here in that there are 15 mph plus winds forecast for this game and that certainly hurts a passing team like USC more than a team that pounds the football constantly.

Notre Dame is coming off a bye week. Teams with a win percentage above 70% coming off a bye week against a team with a win percentage of 70% or higher that isn't off a bye week are 41-11 ATS in the last 52 contests.

Take Notre Dame.

*3 Star CFB Situational Spot CASH* The Cal Golden Bears are feeling really good about themselves right now. They are coming off a blowout win over a top ten team in the country. Cal isn't nearly as good as they looked in that game though, and the Golden Bears still have some glaring weaknesses.

Arizona comes in with one of the best running games in the country. The Wildcats run the ball on 65% of their plays from scrimmage. Cal's weakness is their run defense. On the surface they look good against the run, but they have only played one team who runs the football really well (Oregon). The Ducks ran for 328 yards in that game.

Tate is a difference maker at quarterback for Arizona. This team is much better with him under center, and I think they'll run the ball very well here.

Cal's offense isn't consistent, and I think the spot with Cal having a letdown is much better for Arizona.

Take Arizona.

*3 Star Michigan/Penn State MONEY* The Michigan Wolverines have held all six of their opponents to season lows in total yards. There is no doubt this Michigan defense is excellent. Penn State's defense is 4th in the nation in yards per play allowed at 4.01. Michigan is second at only 3.68 per play allowed.

Penn State ranks in the bottom half of the country in terms of pace of play. Michigan ranks in the bottom 20 in tempo as well. I don't see either team playing quickly here.

Michigan is first in the nation in pass defense when adjusted for strength of schedule. I think Michigan can reduce Penn State's big play ability much better than most teams.

Michigan's passing attack has been non-existent of late, and Penn State's front seven should be up for the challenge of stuffing the run.

There's a good chance this game stays in the 30's.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Under* Buffalo is starting their third string quarterback in this one. Miami (Ohio) is without starting quarterback Gus Ragland. Billy Bahl is a big downgrade from Ragland. Vantrease gets the start for Buffalo with Anderson and Jackson expected to miss this game.

Expect both teams to be far more cautious with their play calling here. These aren't explosive offenses to begin with, and I expect even less big plays with untested quarterbacks in the game.

Look for the defenses to be geared to stop the run, and the run is likely to come often given the quarterback situation. I expect a sloppy low scoring contest.

Take the under.

*4 Star CFB Early Bird Special* Iowa is a team that relies heavily on the running game. That plays into the strength of the Northwestern defense. The Wildcats are allowing only 3.44 yards per carry despite facing some good rushing attacks this year.

Northwestern's offense has been throwing it a lot more often this year. Justin Jackson is banged up and that is slowing down the offense a lot. The offensive line is a major problem for Northwestern. Look for Iowa to get a lot of pressure on Thorson here.

The wild card here is the weather. The forecast calls for 15 to 20 mph winds through this game, which makes both passing attacks have a much harder time. Wind is your best friend as an under bettor.

The under is 35-15-1 in Northwestern's last 51 home games.

Take the under here.

*4 Star Play Under* The weather is the story here. Pullman is experiencing some nasty weather this weekend. The current forecast calls for a 80% chance of rain with a temperature in the mid 40's and winds of 20 mph.

That makes it very hard for passing attacks to work. Washington State will have to run more than normal. Colorado's passing defense is their strength, and Washington State isn't a very good running team.

Colorado's offense has been a disappointment all year. The Buffaloes are struggling to get explosive plays. Alex Grinch's defense is much improved at Washington State, and I think they bounce back from last week's game with a strong defensive effort.

Take the under here.

*4 Star Play Over* Missouri is pushing the pace more again. After not play quite as quick for a couple games, the Tigers have been the fastest paced team on offense in the country in their last two games. Missouri's offense is starting to get more efficient, and this Idaho defense shouldn't be able to slow them down much at all.

Idaho has a good quarterback and should be able to complete some big plays against a weak Missouri secondary. Missouri has allowed a minimum of 31 points in every game this year, including a win over Missouri State 72-43 in the season opener.

Look for Missouri to run it up with a big number and Idaho to score a solid amount as well.

Take the over.

*4 Star Play Over* The Kentucky Wildcats defense has been exposed in SEC play because of a weak run defense. Mississippi State plays at a quick tempo and they can break a lot of big running plays. Look for Nick Fitzgerald to have a big game here.

The Kentucky offense has a nice balanced attack, and I believe Mississippi State's defense is a bit overvalued right now.

Last year's game sailed over the total and I see no reason to believe this will be any different. Look for big plays from both teams in this one.

Take the over.

*5 Star CFB TOP Play Total* I had this one lined at 70 points, so this is a big play for me. Both teams play at a very quick pace. Both teams have the ability to break a bunch of explosive plays. I don't see either defense being able to contain the opposition. Big bet on the over for me.

North Texas' Mason Fine is really coming into his own in this offense. Florida Atlantic hasn't allowed less than 5.48 yards per play in a game against an FBS opponent all year.

The North Texas defense has allowed 5.06 yards per play or more in all their games against FBS opponents.

Both of these teams play fast and there will be a lot of possessions.

Take the over.