*3 Star Play Under* The Delaware Blue Hens are a completely different team this year. Delaware is 361st in average possession length nationally (out of 365 teams). They were 56th last season. They have pumped the brakes in a big way. Delaware is 356th in FTA/FGA, and they are 361st in offensive rebounding percentage. Defensively, Delaware is 88th in effective field goal percentage defense.

LA Tech is 350th in overall tempo, and this game should be played to a very slow pace. The Bulldogs are 347th in the nation in effective field goal percentage offense. They are 26th in blocked shots percentage on defense though, and 72nd in effective field goal percentage defense.

Take the under.

*Free Play Under* The App State Mountaineers have been good at dictating pace against teams who are of a similar talent profile. App State beat Coastal 67-49 in the first meeting this year. Coastal is very weak on offense. They are a middle of the pack defense.

App State is second in the Sun Belt in defensive efficiency. This team gets after it on defense, and tops in the league on the defensive glass.

I think this one stays under the total with a slow tempo. Take the under.

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*3 Star Play Under* The UTEP Miners have played 12 games against Division One opponents this year. The highest scoring game at the end of regulation they have had is 146 points. The rest of their games have finished 143 points or lower. UTEP has slowed the pace down considerably this year. They just don't have enough scorers, and the team is 311th in effective field goal percentage offense.

Western Kentucky does run, but the Hilltoppers are 326th in effective field goal percentage offense. Unless the Hilltoppers jump out to big early lead, I think UTEP will work hard to slow the pace down here. Western Kentucky has seen 4 of their last 6 against Division One opponents stay under this number.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Over* The Lindenwood Lions are 24th nationally in average possession length. They are the fastest paced team in the OVC. Lindenwood's defensive stats have been propped up by their "free throw defense" being so good. That should regress toward the mean with time.

Lindenwood's offense should be able to take advantage of Little Rock in two areas. First, they are very good at second chance conversions, and Little Rock is poor on the defensive boards. Second, they are good at steals and quick scores, and Little Rock turns it over and allows a lot in transition.

Little Rock is excellent in transition as well off the steals, and Lindenwood has been terrible in that area on defense. Little Rock also is very good around the hoop on offense, and Lindenwood has been poor with the near proximity defense.

Take the over.

*3 Star Play Under* The Pacific Tigers are 338th in average possession length this season. Pacific is also up to 111th in effective field goal percentage defense, and they are 19th in the nation when it comes to defensive rebounding percentage.

San Diego has had some faster paced games of late, but those were against the likes of Gonzaga and Santa Clara.

These two met in late December, and it was 66-54 with a pace of just 64 possessions. I think this will be a good amount higher than that, but this total is set several points higher than it should be.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Under* The Stanford Cardinal were playing fast in the non-conference slate, but this team has really backed down their tempo in recent contests. In the non-conference their average tempo was 69.5 possessions. In conference play, it has been an average o 60.5 possessions.

I do think this will be played faster than that with Virginia on the other side, but Virginia's defense has been solid this year. Virginia is 8th nationally in effective field goal percentage defense.

I think this total is several points too high.

Take the under.