*Free Play Over 57.5* The Duke Blue Devils and Virginia Cavs both play with a lot of pace. There should be quite a few possessions in this one. Duke gives up nearly 300 passing yards per game and Chandler Morris should have a big day here. Duke's Darian Mensah struggled in the first meeting between these two, but I expect him to be better in this one. Look for enough explosives and a quick tempo to send this over the total.

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*3 Star Play Over* The Morgan State Bears always like to play fast and have a frenetic style of play. They are looking to create turnovers and get quick scores off their aggressive pressure defense.

Longwood has played eight Division I games this year. They have played seven of those eight games against teams who are 300th or slower out of 365 teams in average possession length. Longwood wants to run, and they are going to get a chance to run here against Morgan State. Their opponents they have played thus far this season have skewed their games lower scoring.

There should be a lot of free throws in this one.

Take the over.

*3 Star Play Under* Fordham is 343rd in tempo out of 365 teams. The Rams are very deliberate under Coach Mike Magpayo. Four of their seven games against Division I opponents have finished with 134 points or lower.

Holy Cross is 325th in the nation in tempo. The Crusaders are very weak and they are coming off a shocking victory over Northeastern.

These two teams are 331st and 348th in FTA/FGA, so I wouldn't expect many free throws here.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Over* The Gardner Webb Bulldogs have allowed a whopping 92.1 points per game so far this year. Their defense is 363rd out of 365 teams nationally in effective field goal percentage defense. They have allowed less than 84 points only once in ten games.

Georgia Southern is 29th in the nation in tempo. The Eagles foul a bunch on defense and they give up loads of free throws. They have played two very slow paced teams in their last two games, but it is back to a track meet type game here.

Take the over.

*3 Star Play Under* New Hampshire is 357th in the nation in offensive efficiency. They are 360th in the nation in effective field goal percentage offense.

Boston University has been decent on defense in previous years, but their defense has been way down so far this season. I would guess that they improve a bit from here on out, and this is the worst offense they have faced yet.

Boston is 362nd out of 365 teams in the nation in tempo. New Hampshire is 311th in average possession length on offense. A very slow paced game here.

Take the under.

*4 Star Play Under* The Delaware State Hornets have drastically slowed their pace down by a couple seconds per possession this year. Delaware State's offense is terrible, and they have to try to win lower scoring games. Delaware State has scored 59 points or fewer in six straight games against Division One opponents. They also scored 58 points against Division II Virginia State.

Delaware averaged 16.5 seconds per possession last year, but they are using 19.5 seconds per possession this year. They have an even more drastic slowdown of the tempo.

These two teams are 354th and 362nd in the nation in FTA/FGA so they are very rarely getting to the free throw line.

I have to back the under at this number. Take the under.

*4 Star Play Under* The Wichita State Shockers and Northern Iowa Panthers meet in a heated battle between two former rivals in the MVC.

Wichita State moved on to a bigger conference and Northern Iowa and the rest of the MVC have held that against them.

Northern Iowa is a great defensive team. The Panthers are elite on the defensive glass, and that is where Wichita State's offensive has generated points from second chances.

Northern Iowa is 358th in overall tempo and I expect them to control the pace here.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Under* The Texas Tech defense has flown under the radar a bit, but this is a dominant defense that deserves a ton of credit. Shiel Wood is one of the very best defensive coordinators in the country. Texas Tech is third in the nation in defensive success rate. The Red Raiders are 4th in explosiveness allowed. They are also first nationally in both yards per carry allowed and PPA/rush allowed. They are 4th in points per opportunity allowed, so they are keeping opponents out of the end zone.

BYU likes to run the football a bunch with Bachmeier and Martin, but it is very tough to do against this Red Raider defensive front. BYU is 34th in rushing play success rate on offense, and they are running the ball on 56.5% of their offensive plays. They are just 70th in red zone touchdown percentage on offense. BYU is 102nd in pass success rate on offense. They are up against a Texas Tech defense that is 4th in pass play success rate allowed.

BYU defensively is solid as well. They are 30th in success rate allowed. They are 25th in explosiveness allowed. BYU is 8th in red zone TD percentage allowed on defense.

The first game between these two saw both teams average less than 5 yards per play.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Under* The New York Knicks host the Orlando Magic in an early start game at Madison Square Garden on Sunday.

Paolo Banchero is back in the lineup for the Magic, and that should mean they play slower. He is a halfcourt type player, and he is a solid defensive player as well. Orlando is second in the NBA in defensive efficiency in the last five games. The Knicks are a little above league average in defensive efficiency during that time too.

The Knicks are second slowest in the NBA in terms of tempo in the last five games.

These early Sunday start times have trended pretty strongly to the under in the last 15 years or so in the NBA.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play on Packers* The Green Bay Packers are just behind the Chicago Bears in the NFC North standings. Here's a massive game for how things will finish in this division.

Chicago ranks as the luckiest team in the NFL by a couple major luck rankings. The Bears are much better than they have been in recent seasons, and Ben Johnson and company deserve a lot of credit for the turnaround. Still, I don't think they are nearly as good as their record would indicate.

Green Bay gets Jayden Reed back for this one. The Packers now have a good and deep group of wide receivers.

The Packers still have a really good home field advantage at Lambeau Field. They had an extra day to prepare for this one compared to the Bears, and I think they come out with a strong effort here.

Take Green Bay.

*3 Star Play on Saints* The Tampa Bay Bucs have been outgained in nine straight games! Tampa Bay has been able to win many of those games still, but their wins have not come by margin very often. Five of seven wins from Tampa Bay have been by three points or fewer.

Tampa Bay is still very banged up. The Bucs are without Mike Evans and Jalen McMillan on the outside. Wirfs the star tackle is questionable here. Wisdom is a solid safety and he is out here too.

The Saints are the healthier team coming into this one. New Orleans actually outgained Tampa Bay by a margin of 275-212 in the first meeting. The Saints were -3 in TO margin in that game.

Tyler Shough has played fairly well at quarterback for the Saints. New Orleans have a long history of being very competitive in this matchup when playing at Tampa Bay.

This is too many points.

Take New Orleans.