Free Play on St. Peter's- The MAAC is the league where road teams have done the best ATS out of any conference in the country in the last decade. The home court advantage is very overrated here. Iona has dropped recent home games to both Fairfield and Mount St. Mary's too. Iona isn't playing as well as they did earlier in the year. I think St. Peter's is clearly the better team, and they should dominate on the glass. The Peacocks already won in league play at Quinnipiac and at Fairfield. Take St. Peter's.

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*3 Star Play Under* The Merrimack Warriors have that unique Joe Gallo zone defense that is such a tough defense to prepare for. Merrimack is 13th in the nation in effective field goal percentage defense. They have multiple shot blockers down low and Siena should have a tough time scoring in the paint against this zone.

Siena is 12th in the MAAC in tempo. The Saints want to play slowly. Siena has scored just 58 and 59 points against Merrimack in the last couple meetings. Those games have been played to 63 possessions (last year) and 54 possessions this year.

Merrimack is 8-3 to the under when favored. The Warriors have allowed 50.67 points per game in their last three games.

Take the under.

*3 Star Play Over* The Sacred Heart Pioneers are one of the few teams in the MAAC who want to play fast. Sacred Heart is second fastest in the league in tempo. They are also second worst in the league in defensive efficiency. Sacred Heart is first in the MAAC in offensive efficiency on the road (1.136 points per possession). The Pioneers are giving up an insane 1.226 points per possession on the road though.

Fairfield's Chris Casey prefers his team to play quickly. The first game between these two teams was 92-87. Fairfield just gave up 83 points last game to St. Peter's.

Sacred Heart takes a ton of three point jumpers. Fairfield is 11th out of 13 in the league in three point defense.

The offenses should have the upper hand.

Take the over.

*3 Star Play Over* The Wagner Seahawks have been an over machine on the road this year. Their road games have gone over the total by an average of 12.1 points per game. St. Francis is first in the NEC in tempo. They are also awful on defense. St. Francis has allowed 1.12 points per possession or more to their opponent in six of their last seven games. They have given up 86 points or more in five of their last seven games.

St. Francis is first in the conference in 3 point percentage on offense. Wagner is 10th in 3 point percentage defense.

These two teams are 332nd and 357th in defensive efficiency. Both teams are good on the offensive glass in league play.

Take the over here.

*3 Star Play Under* The Fordham Rams are 12-2 to the under at home this season. Those 14 games have been under the total by 10.9 points per game on average. Fordham is 358th in average possession length. They are 264th in offensive efficiency. They are 82nd in defensive efficiency. Fordham is 364th out of 365 teams in FTA/FGA. The Rams are top 50 nationally in both defensive rebounding and FTA/FGA allowed.

Davidson is 348th in overall tempo. The Wildcats road games have gone under the total by an average of 7.3 points per game.

With neither team getting to the line much and this slow of a pace, I'm going to the low side here.

Take the under.