1.5** Free Play - #NCAATournament #marchmadness

[Pick Bot]

Albany -2.5 -103 1.5* Free Play
Mt. St Mary’s played 3 teams that are in the NCAA Tournament and they lost by at least 30 points to each. Albany on the other hand only lost to Pitt by 12 points and what is even more impressive they held them to 58 points. Defense wins championships and that’s what Albany has with an adjusted 143rd ranking. Mt. St. Mary’s can score, but unfortunately they’ve done it against a weak schedule and their defense is among the worst.

Mt. St Mary’s relies on the three pointers shooting over 40% of their shots from beyond the arch which is always a risk. Albany has had the time to prepare and should have a game plan in place to defend. On the other hand Albany will take nearly 75% of their shots from inside and that’s where they will have an advantage. Mt. St. Mary’s is arguably the worst defense in any post season tourney. Their adjusted defensive ranking for SOS is 287, but against the 2 they ranked 337th against poor offenses. I expect Albany to continue their dominance on neutral court where they have gone 10-1 ATS in their last 11.