4% MLB POD Goes Tonight

[Freddy Wills]

Freddy Wills's Pick
Astros -130 4% play

Astros -130 4% play

I like the Astros in this spot as they are currently very hot and threatening the Rangers for the division. Oakland is just not a very good team 21-25 at home and 12 games under .500 overall. The match up in tonight's game on the mound is not a great one. neither pitcher has been great, although Kendall Graveman has a 2.97 ERA at home many pitchers have pitched well in Oakland. Fiers has great numbers vs. Oakland including a solid start in April going 7 innings allowing 2 ER. Graveman on the other hand has allowed 13 ER over 4 career starts posting a 5.24 ERA against them.

I don't think either starting pitcher deserves to be favored here, but the advantage the Astros do have is in their bullpen. If they can get this game to their bullpen they have a massive advantage ranking top 5 in bullpen ERA to Oakland who is ranked 21st. The Astros also are top 10 in OPS vs. RHP compared with Oakland who is ranked 27th.