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Big 12 Conference Game - Kansas State vs. Texas

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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Big 12 Conference Game - Kansas State vs. Texas

Postby Pick Bot » Sat Oct 07, 2017 7:03 pm

Freddy Wills's Comments

Freddy Wills's Pick
Kansas State / Texas Under 49.5 2.2% play 7pm ET
This is a bad match-up for Kansas State who relies heavily on their running game to score points. Texas has been dominant vs. the run since their opening game against Maryland and rank 26th, but have held opponents to 1.6 ypc over their last 3 games. Kansas State last year when held under 150 yards rushing averaged just 15.3 points per game. Texas with a couple extra days to prepare for this one is definitely capable of shutting this offense down considering Vanderbilt held them to 7 points.
Texas offense is a bit banged up on the offensive line and has really struggled this year finding an identity. They’ll face one of the better defenses they have faced all season long in Kansas State. Kansas State also a dog here is 30-13 ATS during the regular season since Bill Snyder came back and the defense is usually playing their best in this role.
What I like most about the under here is the fact that both defenses are playing exceptional in the red zone allowing under 50% TD’s. Kanas State is also 105th in plays per game while they are 6th in allowing just 61 per game. While Texas offensively will try to speed it up at time they also like holding their opponents in check allowing just 67 plays per game good for 26th. The last 4 in this matchup have gone under and I see this one going under as well.
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