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3 & 1 Dime Bonus *Steam Chalk Play* 60-30 L30 Days!

  
Here you will find all of Freddy's released picks. Picks will automatically be posted here 5 minutes after the start of the game.
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3 & 1 Dime Bonus *Steam Chalk Play* 60-30 L30 Days!

Postby Pick Bot » Fri Jul 10, 2009 7:15 pm





Phillies -168 3Dimes & 1Dime Bonus run line +115
This is on the border of my rule of not betting or giving out recommendations of teams higher than -170, but with the run line bonus I feel this is well worth it!

Zach Duke and the Pirates will visit the Phillies and Joe Blanton on Friday night. Pirates are 4-10 in their last 14 vs. the Pirates and they are 1-7 in their last 8 in Philly.

Duke who has been excellent as of late has struggled in his career against the Phillies as he is coming off a 6IP 9H and 6ER vs. them in his last start. HIs 3.91 road ERA is over a run higher than his home ERA of 2.77. The Phillies have a .293 average against Duke including Jason Werth who is red hot right now and has is 2-3 with a HR vs. Duke. The Pirates are 5-23 in Dukes Last 28 road starts.

Blanton will go for the Phillies and he is 1-1 with a 2.33 ERA last 3 games. 8 of his last 9 starts have been quality. He has just 1 start against the Pirates at home and he went 7 innings gave up 1H and 0ER. The Phillies are scoring 8.42 r/9 in their last 5 and their bullpen has a 0.66ERA during that time frame. They are 45-17 in their last 62 as a favorite between -151 to -200.

The Pirates have lost 76.6% of their road games by more than 1 run and the Phillies have won 73.6% of their home wins by more than 1 run.
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