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Super Bowl Prop Picks Free

  
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Super Bowl Prop Picks Free

Postby Freddy Wills » Sun Feb 03, 2013 2:28 pm

1st TD of the game:
Pitta +900 1* play
Ed Reed +6000 0.25* play
Ed Dickson +5000 0.25* play
Jacoby Jones +2500 0.5* play

Pitta will score a TD before Vernon Davis -120 (2.4* play) no action if neither score.
Pitta has been Flacco's favorite target in the red zone of late and that's where the 49ers vulnerabilities reside in the red zone they've allowed 9 passing TD's to TE's and Pitta has 9. Vernon Davis is a big threat, but the Ravens don't let TE's beat them allowing 2 TD's on the year.

Higher scoring half will be 2nd Half + OT -125 (1.25* play)

Vernon Davis longest reception O20.5 yards -115 (2.3* play) - Basically the Ravens don't give up many catches or TD's for that matter to TE's only 68 receptions and 2 TD's, but allowed an average 12 yards per catch among hte worst in the league to TE's. The 49ers only have to receiving weapons on the outside and their real threat is the running game. Davis had 10 games with a reception of more than 20 yards.

49ers first score will be a FG or safety +135 (1* play)
Ravens have one of the best red zone defenses in the league and I expect them to play like it today as they did against two of the top red zone offenses in New England and Denver.

Flacco Over 1.5 TD passes -130 (1.3* play)
49ers are 5th in opponent rushing TD % while they are 25th in TD pass % allowing 67% of their TD's via the pass. Good value here the way Flacco has been playing.

Kaepernick Under 1.5 TD passes -120 (1.2* play)
Baltimore is 7th in opposing player TD passes at 48.75% and San Francisco would rather run the ball and that is where Baltimore has been vulnerable in the rushing game. I don't see Vernon Davis catching any TD's and the Ravens have pretty good cover guys on the outside.

Kaepernick U55.5 yards rushing -135 (1.35* play)
Kaepernick and the 49ers offense is out there now and the Ravens have 2 full weeks to prepare. If Kaepernick wants to win this game he'll have to throw the ball.
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Freddy Wills
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